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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes

Molde

T S T T T

4–1

Full-time

Stromsgodset

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

15%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

64%

77%

Both score Ø 49%

43%

54%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,6

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,14 xG 0,54

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 13. · Stromsgodset 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	16	11	3	2	+20	+15.4	36
2	Brann	16	9	3	4	+3	+13.8	30
3	Tromso	13	9	1	3	+7	+3.4	28
4	Rosenborg	16	7	6	3	+3	+7.0	27
5	Bodo/Glimt	13	8	2	3	+17	+16.6	26
6	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	7	2	+9	+9.6	22
7	Sandefjord	13	7	0	6	+4	-4.0	21
8	Fredrikstad	15	6	3	6	+2	-4.0	21
9	Kristiansund	15	5	4	6	-2	-10.3	19
10	KFUM Oslo	14	5	3	6	+1	+0.8	18
11	Bryne	13	5	3	5	-2	-0.3	18
12	Valerenga	14	4	3	7	-3	-1.5	15
13	Molde	14	4	2	8	-4	-1.8	14
14	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	-11	-8.8	13
15	Stromsgodset	13	2	0	11	-13	-12.7	6
16	Haugesund	14	0	2	12	-31	-23.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	6	2	0	+14	+10.8	20
2	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
3	Sandefjord	6	6	0	0	+13	+4.6	18
4	Rosenborg	8	4	4	0	+7	+8.7	16
5	Fredrikstad	9	5	1	3	+6	-2.6	16
6	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	0	2	+12	+9.9	15
7	Bryne	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.8	13
8	Tromso	6	4	0	2	+2	+3.4	12
9	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+4	+0.9	10
10	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	+4	+5.2	9
11	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	+0	-4.6	8
12	Ham-Kam	6	2	2	2	-3	-3.3	8
13	Valerenga	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.2	5
14	Molde	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
15	Haugesund	7	0	2	5	-16	-7.1	2
16	Stromsgodset	7	0	0	7	-11	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	5	1	2	+6	+4.7	16
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+5	+0.1	16
3	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	4	0	+5	+4.4	13
4	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	2	1	+5	+6.7	11
5	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.7	11
6	Rosenborg	8	3	2	3	-4	-1.6	11
7	Molde	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
8	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	+0	-0.2	10
9	Brann	7	3	1	3	-3	+4.6	10
10	KFUM Oslo	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.0	8
11	Stromsgodset	6	2	0	4	-2	-6.5	6
12	Bryne	6	1	2	3	-3	-4.1	5
13	Fredrikstad	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.4	5
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	2	4	-8	-5.5	5
15	Sandefjord	7	1	0	6	-9	-8.6	3
16	Haugesund	7	0	0	7	-15	-16.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.