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Allsvenskan

Referee: Joakim Ostling

Djurgarden

S T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Elfsborg

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

33%

60%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

27%

47%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,1

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,87 xG 0,87

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Djurgarden 10. · Elfsborg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	16	11	4	1	+18	+2.2	37
2	Hammarby	16	10	3	3	+16	+10.5	33
3	AIK	16	9	5	2	+10	+3.6	32
4	Elfsborg	15	9	2	4	+9	+4.4	29
5	Malmo FF	16	7	6	3	+11	+10.4	27
6	GAIS	15	6	7	2	+8	+6.0	25
7	Goteborg	15	7	1	7	-2	+0.3	22
8	Hacken	15	6	3	6	-1	+2.2	21
9	Brommapojkarna	15	6	1	8	+0	+1.5	19
10	Djurgarden	15	5	4	6	-3	+1.7	19
11	Halmstad	15	5	1	9	-17	-9.4	16
12	Norrkoping	15	4	3	8	-6	-9.7	15
13	Sirius	15	3	4	8	-6	-4.2	13
14	Degerfors	15	4	1	10	-15	-3.0	13
15	Oster	15	3	3	9	-9	-9.4	12
16	Varnamo	15	1	4	10	-13	-7.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+12	+9.7	22
2	Malmo FF	8	5	2	1	+10	+7.4	17
3	AIK	7	5	2	0	+10	+3.3	17
4	Mjallby	7	5	2	0	+9	+3.4	17
5	Elfsborg	8	5	1	2	+6	+1.2	16
6	GAIS	7	3	3	1	+3	+3.6	12
7	Halmstad	8	4	0	4	-6	-2.3	12
8	Hacken	8	3	2	3	+1	+4.9	11
9	Djurgarden	8	2	4	2	+2	+3.3	10
10	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+1.4	10
11	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.2	7
12	Norrkoping	8	2	1	5	-4	-1.9	7
13	Varnamo	8	1	3	4	-4	-3.5	6
14	Brommapojkarna	7	2	0	5	-4	+1.1	6
15	Oster	7	1	2	4	-4	-5.0	5
16	Degerfors	7	1	1	5	-9	-1.4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+9	-1.3	20
2	AIK	9	4	3	2	+0	+0.3	15
3	GAIS	8	3	4	1	+5	+2.4	13
4	Brommapojkarna	8	4	1	3	+4	+0.4	13
5	Elfsborg	7	4	1	2	+3	+3.2	13
6	Goteborg	7	4	0	3	-2	-1.0	12
7	Hammarby	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.8	11
8	Malmo FF	8	2	4	2	+1	+3.0	10
9	Hacken	7	3	1	3	-2	-2.7	10
10	Djurgarden	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.6	9
11	Degerfors	8	3	0	5	-6	-1.5	9
12	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-2	-7.7	8
13	Oster	8	2	1	5	-5	-4.5	7
14	Sirius	8	1	3	4	-4	-4.1	6
15	Halmstad	7	1	1	5	-11	-7.1	4
16	Varnamo	7	0	1	6	-9	-3.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.