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Allsvenskan
Referee: Richard Sundell
Degerfors
T T T T T
0–3
Full-time
GAIS
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors GAIS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
2,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,48 xG 1,42
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Degerfors 14. · GAIS 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 16 11 4 1 +18 +2.2 37
2 Hammarby 16 10 3 3 +16 +10.5 33
3 AIK 16 9 5 2 +10 +3.6 32
4 Malmo FF 17 8 6 3 +13 +10.1 30
5 Elfsborg 16 9 2 5 +8 +3.4 29
6 GAIS 15 6 7 2 +8 +6.0 25
7 Goteborg 15 7 1 7 -2 +0.3 22
8 Djurgarden 16 6 4 6 -2 +2.7 22
9 Hacken 15 6 3 6 -1 +2.2 21
10 Brommapojkarna 15 6 1 8 +0 +1.5 19
11 Halmstad 15 5 1 9 -17 -9.4 16
12 Norrkoping 15 4 3 8 -6 -9.7 15
13 Sirius 15 3 4 8 -6 -4.2 13
14 Degerfors 15 4 1 10 -15 -3.0 13
15 Oster 16 3 3 10 -11 -9.1 12
16 Varnamo 15 1 4 10 -13 -7.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors GAIS
15′
M. de Brienne 0–1
R. Niklasson
Half-time 1–1
52′
J. Pikkarainen 1–1
own goal
55′
🔁 H. Ibrahim
↦ W. Milovanovic
61′
I. Diabate 1–2
A. Fisic 🔁
↦ O. Faraj
64′
E. Pihlstrom 🔁
↦ E. Barsoum
64′
Leon Hien 🟨
65′
A. Heden 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
72′
Z. Salifu 🔁
↦ E. Lindell
72′
72′
🔁 J. Fagerjord
↦ K. Holmen
72′
🔁 E. Becirovic
↦ R. Niklasson
74′
🟨 Axel Henriksson
N. Moro 🔁
↦ L. Hien
84′
86′
🔁 R. Thorkelsson
↦ A. Henriksson
86′
🔁 D. Bengtsson
↦ I. Diabate
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Degerfors

3-4-2-1
26 M. Igonen G
6 D. Sundgren D
5 J. Pikkarainen
4 L. Hien D
12 E. Lindell M
11 C. Gravius M
8 N. Girmai M
2 M. Diaby M
10 M. Rafferty F
20 E. Barsoum F
19 O. Faraj F
Bench (9)
1 W. Jakobsson
9 A. Fisic
15 N. Moro
18 T. Gronborg
21 E. Pihlstrom
23 A. Heden
24 H. Smedberg
27 Z. Salifu
30 B. Morgado

Coach: Henok Goitom

GAIS

4-3-3
13 K. Sims G
6 A. Wangberg
12 R. Frej D
24 F. Beckman D
2 M. de Brienne D
8 W. Milovanovic M
18 K. Holmen M
21 A. Henriksson M
9 G. Lundgren F
19 I. Diabate F
16 R. Niklasson F
Bench (9)
1 M. Krasniqi
4 O. Agren
5 R. Wendin
7 J. Fagerjord
11 E. Becirovic
17 R. Thorkelsson
22 A. Cardaklija
29 D. Bengtsson
32 H. Ibrahim

Coach: Fredrik Jakob Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Sundell · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.