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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Valerenga

T U T S T

3–1

Full-time

Kristiansund

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

30%

40%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,71 xG 1,12

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 6

12 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 13. · Kristiansund 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	9	0	1	+19	+11.1	27
2	Tromso	12	7	3	2	+4	+5.0	24
3	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+17	+14.7	22
4	Lillestrom	11	6	1	4	+6	+4.2	19
5	Molde	10	5	1	4	+4	+1.2	16
6	Ham-Kam	9	5	1	3	+1	-1.5	16
7	Sandefjord	10	4	2	4	-2	-1.5	14
8	Brann	11	4	1	6	+5	+1.6	13
9	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	2	5	-4	+0.3	11
10	KFUM Oslo	10	3	2	5	-5	-3.1	11
11	Kristiansund	10	3	2	5	-5	-3.8	11
12	Fredrikstad	10	3	2	5	-6	-6.8	11
13	Valerenga	10	3	2	5	-6	-4.1	11
14	Aalesund	10	2	4	4	-5	-8.0	10
15	Rosenborg	10	2	2	6	-9	-3.8	8
16	Start	11	1	4	6	-14	-5.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	8	5	2	1	+7	+8.5	17
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Ham-Kam	6	5	0	1	+5	-1.0	15
4	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+14	+13.0	12
5	Molde	5	4	0	1	+9	+3.3	12
6	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+5	+3.6	9
7	KFUM Oslo	5	3	0	2	+2	-0.9	9
8	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.5	8
9	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
10	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.0	7
11	Rosenborg	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.3	7
12	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.5	7
13	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.9	7
14	Brann	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.7	6
15	Start	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6
16	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	0	1	+4	+6.8	12
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
3	Lillestrom	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.6	10
4	Brann	7	2	1	4	+4	-2.1	7
5	Tromso	4	2	1	1	-3	-3.5	7
6	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.5	6
7	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-3	-7.4	5
8	Kristiansund	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.3	4
9	Molde	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.1	4
10	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.3	4
11	Fredrikstad	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.8	4
12	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	0	4	-5	-1.2	3
13	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
14	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.6	1
15	Rosenborg	5	0	1	4	-9	-6.1	1
16	Start	6	0	1	5	-13	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.