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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Kristiansund
T T U S S
3–2
Full-time
Valerenga
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
14%
52%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
62%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 16. · Valerenga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 21 16 3 2 +28 51
2 Lillestrom 22 13 5 4 +18 44
3 Bodo/Glimt 21 12 5 4 +27 41
4 Rosenborg 21 11 7 3 +17 40
5 Valerenga 21 11 3 7 +7 36
6 Odd 22 9 3 10 -10 30
7 Viking 21 8 5 8 +2 29
8 Stromsgodset 22 8 5 9 +1 29
9 Tromso 21 6 9 6 -6 27
10 Haugesund 21 7 4 10 -2 25
11 Aalesund 21 6 7 8 -8 25
12 Ham-Kam 21 4 11 6 -1 23
13 Sarpsborg 08 21 7 1 13 -6 22
14 Sandefjord 22 6 4 12 -15 22
15 Jerv 21 4 2 15 -33 14
16 Kristiansund 21 3 4 14 -19 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Valerenga
2′
O. Holm 0–1
1–1 B. Willumsson
S. Kartum
8′
40′
🟨 Odin Thiago Holm
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ O. Holm
57′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ S. Strandberg
2–1 F. Moumbagna
S. Kartum
63′
67′
🟨 Fredrik Jensen
68′
🔁 L. Zuta
↦ J. Eng
68′
🔁 H. Udahl
↦ T. Børven
72′
L. Zuta 2–2
T. Christensen
H. Gjesdal 🔁
↦ M. Williamsen
78′
P. Chrupałła 🔁
↦ T. Gjertsen
78′
79′
🔁 M. Riisnæs
↦ S. Juklerød
B. Bye 🔁
↦ B. Willumsson
81′
84′
🟨 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Snorre Strand Nilsen 🟨
85′
89′
🟨 Tobias Christensen
A. Askar 🔁
↦ L. Kalludra
93′
Faris Pemi Moumbagna 🟨
94′
3–2 A. Diop
S. Jarl
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kristiansund

3-4-1-2
30 M. Mbaye G
5 D. Ulvestad D
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen D
10 L. Kalludra M
21 A. Diop F
8 S. Kartum M
18 S. Jarl D
7 T. Gjertsen M
17 B. Willumsson F
29 F. Moumbagna F
Bench (9)
4 H. Gjesdal
27 P. Chrupałła
13 B. Bye
23 A. Askar
37 O. Sivertsen
40 A. Sæther
24 D. Agbo
39 H. Gikling Bruseth
15 M. Rakneberg

Coach: C. Michelsen

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
44 S. Strandberg D
6 V. Hedenstad D
18 S. Juklerød D
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
9 T. Børven F
17 T. Christensen M
10 O. Sahraoui F
27 J. Eng F
Bench (7)
7 F. Jensen
19 S. Jatta
5 L. Zuta
14 H. Udahl
20 M. Riisnæs
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
1 S. Rossbach

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.