Eliteserien
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sandefjord
Kristiansund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tromso
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +7 | +7.0 | 20 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +13 | +8.6 | 18 |
| 3 |
Lillestrom
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | +3.1 | 16 |
| 4 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | +7.3 | 13 |
| 5 |
Molde
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | +1.4 | 13 |
| 6 |
Ham-Kam
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +0 | -1.8 | 13 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +7 | +4.2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sandefjord
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +0.1 | 10 |
| 9 |
Kristiansund
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -3.5 | 8 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -1.4 | 8 |
| 11 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | +1.1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Valerenga
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | -4.6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Rosenborg
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | -2.3 | 8 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | -6.7 | 7 |
| 15 |
Start
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -10 | -4.0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aalesund
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | -8.5 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Hadaya
G
F. Pedersen
D
Z. Smajlovic
D
X. Lambrix
D
V. Egeli
D
S. Mork
M
E. Patoulidis
M
E. Pettersen
M
M. Melchior
M
R. Alte
M
N. Moller
F
Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
A. Saether
G
A. Munksgaard
D
J. Juliusson
D
D. Ulvestad
D
F. Flex
D
W. Igor
M
H. Bruseth
M
A. Ronning
M
L. Alvheim
M
S. Kilen
M
M. Isah
F
Coach: Amund Skiri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Tromso
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
Brann
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.