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Eliteserien
Referee: Mischa Kellerhals
Sandefjord
S S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Kristiansund
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
29%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
29%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,52 xG 0,85
55% Possession 45%
6 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 8. · Kristiansund 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Tromso 9 6 2 1 +7 +7.0 20
2 Viking 7 6 0 1 +13 +8.6 18
3 Lillestrom 8 5 1 2 +7 +3.1 16
4 Bodo/Glimt 7 4 1 2 +7 +7.3 13
5 Molde 7 4 1 2 +6 +1.4 13
6 Ham-Kam 7 4 1 2 +0 -1.8 13
7 Brann 8 3 1 4 +7 +4.2 10
8 Sandefjord 7 3 1 3 -2 +0.1 10
9 Kristiansund 6 2 2 2 -2 -3.5 8
10 KFUM Oslo 7 2 2 3 -4 -1.4 8
11 Sarpsborg 08 8 2 2 4 -4 +1.1 8
12 Valerenga 8 2 2 4 -5 -4.6 8
13 Rosenborg 8 2 2 4 -6 -2.3 8
14 Fredrikstad 8 2 1 5 -7 -6.7 7
15 Start 8 0 4 4 -10 -4.0 4
16 Aalesund 7 0 3 4 -7 -8.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Kristiansund
1–0 R. Alte
E. Pettersen
45′
Half-time 1–0
Xander Lambrix 🟨
47′
55′
🟨 Adrian Kurd Rønning
62′
🔁 P. Meliga
↦ L. Alvheim
B. Berntsen 🔁
↦ E. Patoulidis
64′
2–0 N. Moller
V. Egeli
66′
71′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ A. Ronning
71′
🔁 J. Isaksen
↦ S. Kilen
71′
🔁 N. Odegard
↦ W. Igor
79′
🟨 Julius Mar Juliusson
R. Dzabic 🔁
↦ E. Pettersen
82′
J. Vester 🔁
↦ M. Melchior
82′
S. Mathisen 🔁
↦ N. Moller
82′
89′
🔁 H. Magnusson
↦ H. Bruseth
G. Hojbjerg 🔁
↦ V. Egeli
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-1-4-1
30 E. Hadaya G
4 F. Pedersen D
2 Z. Smajlovic D
44 X. Lambrix D
3 V. Egeli D
6 S. Mork M
7 E. Patoulidis M
14 E. Pettersen M
20 M. Melchior M
10 R. Alte M
11 N. Moller F
Bench (9)
1 A. Gronneberg
8 R. Dzabic
47 S. Kristiansen
37 J. Vester
24 S. Mathisen
5 G. Hojbjerg
17 F. Apetorgbor
19 B. Berntsen
29 K. Halvorsen

Coach: Andreas Tegstrom

Kristiansund

4-2-3-1
12 A. Saether G
13 A. Munksgaard D
4 J. Juliusson D
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 F. Flex D
20 W. Igor M
10 H. Bruseth M
27 A. Ronning M
19 L. Alvheim M
9 S. Kilen M
7 M. Isah F
Bench (8)
1 M. Lansing
23 T. Svendsen
77 H. Magnusson
15 N. Skuseth
22 H. Haugen
18 P. Meliga
6 J. Isaksen
8 N. Odegard

Coach: Amund Skiri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.