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Eliteserien

Referee: Jorgen Haugen

Molde

S S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Sandefjord

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

40%

30%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,99 xG 1,24

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 10

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 6. · Sandefjord 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	9	0	1	+19	+11.1	27
2	Tromso	13	7	4	2	+4	+5.5	25
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	2	2	+17	+15.4	23
4	Lillestrom	11	6	1	4	+6	+4.2	19
5	Ham-Kam	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.8	17
6	Molde	10	5	1	4	+4	+1.2	16
7	Sandefjord	10	4	2	4	-2	-1.5	14
8	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.6	14
9	Valerenga	11	4	2	5	-4	-2.6	14
10	Fredrikstad	11	4	2	5	-5	-6.0	14
11	Brann	12	4	1	7	+4	+1.3	13
12	KFUM Oslo	11	3	3	5	-5	-3.6	12
13	Aalesund	11	2	5	4	-5	-7.7	11
14	Kristiansund	11	3	2	6	-7	-5.4	11
15	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	-9	-4.4	9
16	Start	12	1	4	7	-15	-6.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	8	5	2	1	+7	+8.5	17
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Ham-Kam	6	5	0	1	+5	-1.0	15
4	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+14	+13.0	12
5	Molde	5	4	0	1	+9	+3.3	12
6	Fredrikstad	5	3	1	1	+3	-1.2	10
7	KFUM Oslo	6	3	1	2	+2	-1.3	10
8	Valerenga	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.3	10
9	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+5	+3.6	9
10	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.5	8
11	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
12	Rosenborg	6	2	2	2	+0	+1.7	8
13	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.5	7
14	Brann	5	2	0	3	+0	+3.4	6
15	Start	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6
16	Aalesund	6	1	3	2	-2	-0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	0	1	+4	+6.8	12
2	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.3	11
3	Lillestrom	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.6	10
4	Tromso	5	2	2	1	-3	-3.0	8
5	Brann	7	2	1	4	+4	-2.1	7
6	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.5	6
7	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
8	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-3	-7.4	5
9	Molde	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.1	4
10	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.3	4
11	Kristiansund	6	1	1	4	-6	-2.9	4
12	Fredrikstad	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.8	4
13	Ham-Kam	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.8	2
14	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
15	Rosenborg	5	0	1	4	-9	-6.1	1
16	Start	7	0	1	6	-14	-6.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.