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Eliteserien

Referee: M Aslam

Molde

S U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Sandefjord

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,3

Scored

3,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 38%

54%

21%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

71%

67%

Both score Ø 65%

58%

71%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,07 xG 0,84

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Sandefjord 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	24	16	5	3	+36	+18.4	53
2	Brann	24	13	7	4	+14	+9.4	46
3	Molde	24	13	5	6	+26	+15.9	44
4	Viking	24	12	7	5	+15	+13.1	43
5	Rosenborg	24	12	4	8	+6	+4.4	40
6	Fredrikstad	24	11	7	6	+3	+2.1	40
7	KFUM Oslo	24	8	9	7	+1	+7.2	33
8	Ham-Kam	24	7	8	9	+1	-2.4	29
9	Kristiansund	24	7	8	9	-8	-10.2	29
10	Tromso	24	8	4	12	-5	-11.5	28
11	Stromsgodset	24	7	7	10	-9	-6.1	28
12	Sarpsborg 08	24	7	5	12	-15	-6.8	26
13	Haugesund	24	6	5	13	-14	-6.7	23
14	Sandefjord	24	5	7	12	-9	-2.6	22
15	Odd	24	5	7	12	-18	-15.5	22
16	Lillestrom	24	6	3	15	-24	-8.5	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	3	0	+27	+12.0	30
2	Rosenborg	12	9	1	2	+12	+8.4	28
3	Viking	12	8	3	1	+11	+7.7	27
4	Molde	12	7	2	3	+16	+13.1	23
5	Brann	12	7	2	3	+7	+9.6	23
6	Fredrikstad	12	5	5	2	+2	+4.7	20
7	Kristiansund	12	5	5	2	+1	+3.4	20
8	Sandefjord	12	5	2	5	+1	+1.8	17
9	Stromsgodset	12	4	4	4	+1	+5.4	16
10	Tromso	12	4	2	6	+1	+0.2	14
11	Ham-Kam	11	3	4	4	+3	-0.7	13
12	Haugesund	12	4	1	7	-5	+2.5	13
13	Odd	13	3	4	6	-8	-5.7	13
14	KFUM Oslo	12	2	6	4	-4	+8.6	12
15	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	2	7	-10	-0.8	11
16	Lillestrom	12	2	3	7	-13	-4.2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	7	2	3	+9	+6.4	23
2	Brann	12	6	5	1	+7	-0.3	23
3	Molde	12	6	3	3	+10	+2.8	21
4	KFUM Oslo	12	6	3	3	+5	-1.4	21
5	Fredrikstad	12	6	2	4	+1	-2.6	20
6	Viking	12	4	4	4	+4	+5.4	16
7	Ham-Kam	13	4	4	5	-2	-1.8	16
8	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	3	5	-5	-6.0	15
9	Tromso	12	4	2	6	-6	-11.7	14
10	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	-6	-4.1	12
11	Stromsgodset	12	3	3	6	-10	-11.5	12
12	Lillestrom	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.2	12
13	Haugesund	12	2	4	6	-9	-9.3	10
14	Kristiansund	12	2	3	7	-9	-13.7	9
15	Odd	11	2	3	6	-10	-9.7	9
16	Sandefjord	12	0	5	7	-10	-4.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.