Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tottenham
Fulham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man United
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 36 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +16 | 33 |
| 3 |
Man City
|
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +12 | 32 |
| 4 |
Leicester
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 32 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 32 |
| 6 |
Tottenham
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 29 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Aston Villa
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +13 | 26 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +11 | 26 |
| 10 |
West Ham
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 26 |
| 11 |
Arsenal
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 |
Wolves
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 |
Newcastle
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 16 |
| 17 |
Brighton
|
18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -28 | 8 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | -20 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Sánchez
D
P. Højbjerg
M
E. Dier
D
H. Winks
M
H. Kane
F
Coach: José Mourinho
A. Areola
G
K. Tete
M
J. Andersen
D
O. Aina
D
T. Adarabioyo
D
A. Robinson
M
R. Loftus-Cheek
F
H. Reed
M
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
Coach: S. Parker
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tottenham
Leeds
Wolves
Tottenham
Tottenham
Leicester
Liverpool
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.