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Premier League
Referee: P Tierney
Tottenham
U T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Fulham
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
38%
40%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 6. · Fulham 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 17 11 3 3 +10 36
2 Liverpool 17 9 6 2 +16 33
3 Man City 16 9 5 2 +12 32
4 Leicester 17 10 2 5 +10 32
5 Everton 17 10 2 5 +7 32
6 Tottenham 16 8 5 3 +14 29
7 Southampton 17 8 5 4 +7 29
8 Aston Villa 15 8 2 5 +13 26
9 Chelsea 17 7 5 5 +11 26
10 West Ham 17 7 5 5 +3 26
11 Arsenal 17 7 2 8 +1 23
12 Leeds 17 7 2 8 -3 23
13 Crystal Palace 17 6 4 7 -7 22
14 Wolves 18 6 4 8 -7 22
15 Newcastle 17 5 4 8 -9 19
16 Burnley 16 4 4 8 -12 16
17 Brighton 18 2 8 8 -8 14
18 Fulham 15 2 5 8 -10 11
19 West Brom 17 1 5 11 -28 8
20 Sheffield United 18 1 2 15 -20 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Fulham
18′
🟨 André Zambo Anguissa
1–0 H. Kane ⚽
Reguilón
25′
Half-time 1–0
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 🟨
64′
67′
🔁 A. Lookman
↦ K. Tete
74′
⚽ Ivan Cavaleiro 1–1
A. Lookman
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ H. Winks
75′
Carlos Vinícius 🔁
↦ T. Ndombèlé
81′
86′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
90′
🟨 Joachim Andersen
91′
🔁 J. Onomah
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lloris G
24 S. Aurier D
6 D. Sánchez D
3 Reguilón D
17 M. Sissoko M
5 P. Højbjerg M
15 E. Dier D
8 H. Winks M
28 T. Ndombèlé M
7 Son Heung-Min M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
11 E. Lamela
45 Carlos Vinícius
20 D. Alli
27 Lucas Moura
33 B. Davies
2 M. Doherty
12 J. Hart
9 G. Bale
4 T. Alderweireld

Coach: José Mourinho

Fulham

3-5-2
1 A. Areola G
2 K. Tete M
5 J. Andersen D
34 O. Aina D
16 T. Adarabioyo D
33 A. Robinson M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
15 R. Loftus-Cheek F
21 H. Reed M
29 A. Zambo Anguissa M
17 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (9)
19 A. Lookman
47 A. Kamara
25 J. Onomah
7 N. Kebano
12 M. Rodák
30 T. Kongolo
3 M. Hector
13 T. Ream
23 J. Bryan

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,40
U ✓
4,91
B
7,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.