Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Man City
Brighton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man United
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 36 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +16 | 33 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 32 |
| 4 |
Everton
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 32 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 29 |
| 6 |
Man City
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Aston Villa
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +13 | 26 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +11 | 26 |
| 10 |
West Ham
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 26 |
| 11 |
Arsenal
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 |
Wolves
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 |
Newcastle
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 16 |
| 17 |
Brighton
|
17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -28 | 8 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | -20 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ederson Moraes
G
João Cancelo
D
J. Stones
D
Rúben Dias
D
İ. Gündoğan
M
K. De Bruyne
M
Bernardo Silva
F
Rodri
M
P. Foden
F
Coach: Guardiola
Robert Sanchez
G
J. Veltman
D
L. Dunk
D
Bernardo
M
B. White
M
A. Mac Allister
M
L. Trossard
F
Coach: G. Potter
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Chelsea
Man City
Man City
Newcastle
Southampton
Man City
Man City
West Brom
Man United
Man City
D England · 172 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.