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Premier League

Referee: M Atkinson

Tottenham

T U S U S

1–3

Full-time

Liverpool

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Premier League · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 49%

50%

47%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

39%

53%

Both score Ø 57%

56%

58%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

3 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 6. · Liverpool 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	19	12	5	2	+23	41
2	Man United	20	12	4	4	+10	40
3	Leicester	20	12	3	5	+14	39
4	West Ham	20	10	5	5	+6	35
5	Liverpool	19	9	7	3	+15	34
6	Tottenham	18	9	6	3	+16	33
7	Everton	18	10	3	5	+7	33
8	Chelsea	20	8	6	6	+10	30
9	Arsenal	20	9	3	8	+6	30
10	Aston Villa	18	9	2	7	+12	29
11	Southampton	19	8	5	6	+3	29
12	Leeds	19	8	2	9	-3	26
13	Wolves	20	6	5	9	-8	23
14	Crystal Palace	20	6	5	9	-12	23
15	Burnley	19	6	4	9	-11	22
16	Newcastle	20	5	4	11	-15	19
17	Brighton	20	3	9	8	-7	18
18	Fulham	19	2	7	10	-12	13
19	West Brom	20	2	5	13	-33	11
20	Sheffield United	20	2	2	16	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	West Ham	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Chelsea	10	4	4	2	+8	16
5	Southampton	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Leicester	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Tottenham	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Everton	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Arsenal	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Man United	10	4	2	4	-2	14
11	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+6	13
12	Burnley	9	4	1	4	-2	13
13	Wolves	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Crystal Palace	10	3	3	4	-5	12
15	Leeds	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Newcastle	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Brighton	10	0	6	4	-5	6
18	Fulham	10	1	3	6	-8	6
19	West Brom	10	1	2	7	-24	5
20	Sheffield United	10	1	1	8	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	10	8	2	0	+12	26
2	Leicester	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Everton	9	6	1	2	+4	19
4	Tottenham	9	5	3	1	+11	18
5	Man City	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	West Ham	10	5	2	3	+2	17
7	Aston Villa	10	5	1	4	+6	16
8	Arsenal	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Leeds	10	5	0	5	-2	15
10	Chelsea	10	4	2	4	+2	14
11	Southampton	9	3	4	2	+0	13
12	Brighton	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Liverpool	9	2	5	2	+3	11
14	Crystal Palace	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Wolves	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Burnley	10	2	3	5	-9	9
17	Newcastle	10	2	2	6	-9	8
18	Fulham	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Sheffield United	10	1	1	8	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.