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Championship

Referee: T Robinson

Millwall

T U U S T

2–2

Full-time

Cardiff

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — Championship · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 31%

25%

36%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

33%

64%

Both score Ø 66%

67%

64%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Millwall 17. · Cardiff 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Leeds	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Swansea	12	6	4	2	+7	22
4	Nott'm Forest	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	QPR	12	7	1	4	+0	22
6	Preston	12	6	3	3	+10	21
7	Charlton	12	6	3	3	+6	21
8	Sheffield Weds	12	6	2	4	+7	20
9	Bristol City	12	5	5	2	+2	20
10	Fulham	11	5	3	3	+8	18
11	Cardiff	11	4	4	3	+0	16
12	Birmingham	12	5	1	6	-4	16
13	Brentford	12	4	3	5	+1	15
14	Blackburn	12	4	3	5	-2	15
15	Derby	12	3	6	3	-3	15
16	Luton	12	4	2	6	-2	14
17	Millwall	12	3	5	4	-5	14
18	Wigan	12	4	2	6	-6	14
19	Hull	12	3	4	5	-3	13
20	Reading	12	3	2	7	-5	11
21	Middlesbrough	12	2	4	6	-6	10
22	Huddersfield	12	2	3	7	-6	9
23	Stoke	12	2	2	8	-9	8
24	Barnsley	12	1	4	7	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Cardiff	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Charlton	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Wigan	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Fulham	6	3	2	1	+7	11
6	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Leeds	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Nott'm Forest	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Swansea	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Birmingham	5	3	1	1	+3	10
11	Sheffield Weds	5	3	1	1	+3	10
12	Millwall	5	3	1	1	+2	10
13	QPR	6	3	1	2	+1	10
14	Brentford	6	2	3	1	+3	9
15	Derby	6	2	3	1	+2	9
16	Blackburn	7	2	3	2	+1	9
17	Bristol City	5	2	2	1	+1	8
18	Luton	6	2	2	2	+0	8
19	Hull	7	2	2	3	-2	8
20	Middlesbrough	7	2	2	3	-3	8
21	Reading	6	2	0	4	-4	6
22	Barnsley	7	1	3	3	-5	6
23	Huddersfield	6	1	1	4	-3	4
24	Stoke	7	1	1	5	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	7	4	2	1	+4	14
2	Leeds	6	4	0	2	+7	12
3	Swansea	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Nott'm Forest	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Bristol City	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	QPR	6	4	0	2	-1	12
7	Sheffield Weds	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Charlton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Fulham	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Luton	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Brentford	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Blackburn	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Derby	6	1	3	2	-5	6
14	Birmingham	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Hull	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Reading	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Preston	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Huddersfield	6	1	2	3	-3	5
19	Stoke	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Millwall	7	0	4	3	-7	4
21	Cardiff	6	0	3	3	-6	3
22	Middlesbrough	5	0	2	3	-3	2
23	Wigan	6	0	1	5	-9	1
24	Barnsley	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.