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Championship
Referee: K Friend
Preston
S U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Leeds
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
50%
58%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
58%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,9
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 6. · Leeds 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 12 7 4 1 +9 25
2 Leeds 12 7 2 3 +9 23
3 Swansea 12 6 4 2 +7 22
4 Nott'm Forest 12 6 4 2 +6 22
5 QPR 12 7 1 4 +0 22
6 Preston 12 6 3 3 +10 21
7 Charlton 12 6 3 3 +6 21
8 Sheffield Weds 12 6 2 4 +7 20
9 Bristol City 12 5 5 2 +2 20
10 Fulham 11 5 3 3 +8 18
11 Cardiff 11 4 4 3 +0 16
12 Birmingham 12 5 1 6 -4 16
13 Brentford 12 4 3 5 +1 15
14 Blackburn 12 4 3 5 -2 15
15 Derby 12 3 6 3 -3 15
16 Luton 12 4 2 6 -2 14
17 Millwall 12 3 5 4 -5 14
18 Wigan 12 4 2 6 -6 14
19 Hull 12 3 4 5 -3 13
20 Reading 12 3 2 7 -5 11
21 Middlesbrough 12 2 4 6 -6 10
22 Huddersfield 12 2 3 7 -6 9
23 Stoke 12 2 2 8 -9 8
24 Barnsley 12 1 4 7 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Leeds
Half-time 0–0
S. Maguire 🔁
↦ D. Nugent
72′
1–0 T. Barkhuizen
S. Maguire
74′
77′
🔁 T. Roberts
↦ G. Berardi
77′
🔁 E. Nketiah
↦ P. Bamford
Darnell Fisher 🟨
86′
87′
E. Nketiah 1–1
J. Harrison
A. Green 🔁
↦ T. Barkhuizen
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Rudd G
21 P. Bauer D
2 D. Fisher D
15 J. Rafferty D
6 B. Davies D
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
4 B. Pearson M
44 B. Potts M
8 A. Browne M
35 D. Nugent F
Bench (7)
24 S. Maguire
19 A. Green
16 A. Hughes
25 C. Ripley
18 R. Ledson
20 J. Stockley
12 P. Gallagher

Coach: A. Neil

Leeds

4-1-4-1
13 Kiko Casilla G
28 G. Berardi D
2 L. Ayling D
5 B. White D
43 M. Klich M
15 S. Dallas M
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
17 Hélder Costa M
10 E. Alioski D
9 P. Bamford F
Bench (7)
11 T. Roberts
14 E. Nketiah
40 L. Davis
30 K. Miazek
36 R. Gotts
47 J. Clarke
3 B. Douglas

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,53
U ✓
3,46
B
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Friend · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.