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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
1–2
Full-time
Cardiff
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
46%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
57%
Both score Ø 60%
58%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 3. · Cardiff 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 24 14 9 1 +22 51
2 Leeds 24 14 6 4 +21 48
3 Sheffield Weds 24 11 6 7 +13 39
4 Preston 24 11 6 7 +8 39
5 Fulham 22 11 5 6 +11 38
6 Nott'm Forest 23 10 7 6 +7 37
7 Swansea 22 10 7 5 +6 37
8 Blackburn 24 10 6 8 +2 36
9 Bristol City 24 9 8 7 +0 35
10 Millwall 24 8 10 6 -1 34
11 Hull 24 9 6 9 +4 33
12 Cardiff 23 8 9 6 +2 33
13 QPR 24 9 5 10 -8 32
14 Brentford 21 9 4 8 +12 31
15 Reading 23 8 5 10 +2 29
16 Birmingham 24 8 5 11 -10 29
17 Charlton 24 7 7 10 -1 28
18 Derby 24 6 9 9 -10 27
19 Middlesbrough 24 6 9 9 -10 27
20 Huddersfield 24 6 7 11 -10 25
21 Stoke 24 6 3 15 -11 21
22 Luton 24 6 3 15 -19 21
23 Barnsley 24 4 8 12 -15 20
24 Wigan 24 4 8 12 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Cardiff
5′
R. Glatzel 0–1
8′
J. Hoilett 0–2
L. Tomlin
1–2 T. Lees
B. Bannan
18′
36′
🔁 W. Vaulks
↦ J. Bennett
42′
🔁 S. Bamba
↦ N. Mendez-Laing
Half-time 1–2
Kadeem Harris 🟨
51′
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ D. Iorfa
58′
61′
🟨 Junior Hoilett
J. Börner 🔁
↦ L. Palmer
63′
67′
🟨 Jazz Richards
A. Nuhiu 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
80′
83′
🔁 C. Paterson
↦ L. Tomlin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-2-3-1
25 C. Dawson G
23 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
20 A. Reach M
3 M. Fox D
27 D. Iorfa D
10 B. Bannan M
2 L. Palmer D
7 K. Harris M
14 J. Murphy M
11 S. Winnall F
Bench (7)
6 J. Rhodes
13 J. Börner
17 A. Nuhiu
8 J. Pelupessy
28 J. Wildsmith
22 M. Odubajo
5 K. Lee

Coach: G. Monk

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
1 N. Etheridge G
3 J. Bennett D
21 J. Richards D
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
7 L. Bacuna M
15 M. Pack M
33 J. Hoilett M
17 L. Tomlin M
19 N. Mendez-Laing M
9 R. Glatzel F
Bench (7)
6 W. Vaulks
22 S. Bamba
13 C. Paterson
23 D. Ward
12 A. Smithies
11 J. Murphy
24 G. Madine

Coach: N. Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U
3,81
B ✓
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.