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Serie B

Spezia

S U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Salernitana

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

29%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

41%

39%

Both score Ø 51%

41%

61%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 1

18 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 14. · Salernitana 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	18	13	4	1	+21	43
2	Pordenone	18	9	4	5	+3	31
3	Cittadella	18	8	5	5	+1	29
4	Crotone	18	8	4	6	+6	28
5	Ascoli	18	8	3	7	+5	27
6	Perugia	18	7	6	5	+0	27
7	Frosinone	18	7	5	6	+5	26
8	Pescara	19	7	5	7	+3	26
9	Salernitana	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Chievo	19	6	8	5	+2	26
11	Virtus Entella	18	7	5	6	+1	26
12	Pisa	18	6	5	7	+0	23
13	Empoli	18	5	7	6	-5	22
14	Spezia	17	5	6	6	+1	21
15	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	-6	21
16	Juve Stabia	18	6	3	9	-8	21
17	Cosenza	18	4	8	6	+1	20
18	Venezia	18	4	7	7	-5	19
19	Trapani	18	3	6	9	-14	15
20	Livorno	18	3	2	13	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	9	8	1	0	+17	25
2	Pordenone	9	7	2	0	+12	23
3	Ascoli	9	7	1	1	+9	22
4	Frosinone	9	6	2	1	+12	20
5	Crotone	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Perugia	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Virtus Entella	9	5	3	1	+5	18
8	Salernitana	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Empoli	9	4	4	1	+5	16
10	Chievo	9	4	3	2	+3	15
11	Cremonese	9	4	3	2	+1	15
12	Cittadella	9	4	3	2	+0	15
13	Pescara	10	3	5	2	+5	14
14	Pisa	9	4	2	3	+2	14
15	Juve Stabia	9	4	1	4	-2	13
16	Spezia	8	3	2	3	+2	11
17	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	+0	10
18	Livorno	9	3	0	6	-5	9
19	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-5	8
20	Trapani	9	1	4	4	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	9	5	3	1	+4	18
2	Cittadella	9	4	2	3	+1	14
3	Pescara	9	4	0	5	-2	12
4	Venezia	9	2	5	2	+0	11
5	Chievo	10	2	5	3	-1	11
6	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	+1	10
7	Crotone	9	3	1	5	-1	10
8	Spezia	9	2	4	3	-1	10
9	Salernitana	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Pisa	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Perugia	9	2	3	4	-6	9
12	Virtus Entella	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Juve Stabia	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Pordenone	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Trapani	9	2	2	5	-10	8
16	Cremonese	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Frosinone	9	1	3	5	-7	6
18	Empoli	9	1	3	5	-10	6
19	Ascoli	9	1	2	6	-4	5
20	Livorno	9	0	2	7	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.