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Championship
Referee: A Davies
Fulham
S T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Stoke
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 22/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 5. · Stoke 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 24 14 9 1 +22 51
2 Leeds 24 14 6 4 +21 48
3 Sheffield Weds 24 11 6 7 +13 39
4 Preston 24 11 6 7 +8 39
5 Fulham 22 11 5 6 +11 38
6 Nott'm Forest 23 10 7 6 +7 37
7 Swansea 22 10 7 5 +6 37
8 Blackburn 24 10 6 8 +2 36
9 Bristol City 24 9 8 7 +0 35
10 Millwall 24 8 10 6 -1 34
11 Hull 24 9 6 9 +4 33
12 Cardiff 23 8 9 6 +2 33
13 QPR 24 9 5 10 -8 32
14 Brentford 21 9 4 8 +12 31
15 Reading 23 8 5 10 +2 29
16 Birmingham 24 8 5 11 -10 29
17 Charlton 24 7 7 10 -1 28
18 Derby 24 6 9 9 -10 27
19 Middlesbrough 24 6 9 9 -10 27
20 Huddersfield 24 6 7 11 -10 25
21 Stoke 24 6 3 15 -11 21
22 Luton 24 6 3 15 -19 21
23 Barnsley 24 4 8 12 -15 20
24 Wigan 24 4 8 12 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Oct -19 Stoke – Fulham 2–0

Match report

Fulham Stoke
Bobby Reid 🟨
20′
20′
🟨 Thomas Ince
1–0 B. Reid
26′
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ J. Onomah
37′
42′
🔁 B. Martins Indi
↦ S. Ward
Half-time 1–0
60′
🟨 Ryan Shawcross
D. Odoi 🔁
↦ A. Mawson
67′
69′
🔁 S. Vokes
↦ L. Gregory
75′
🔁 T. Campbell
↦ J. Cousins
S. Sessegnon 🔁
↦ T. Cairney
84′
Marek Rodák 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Bruno Martins Indi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fulham

4-3-3
12 M. Rodák G
13 T. Ream D
22 C. Christie D
23 J. Bryan D
5 A. Mawson D
10 T. Cairney M
24 A. Knockaert F
14 B. Reid F
25 J. Onomah M
21 H. Reed M
9 A. Mitrović F
Bench (7)
19 Ivan Cavaleiro
4 D. Odoi
43 S. Sessegnon
1 M. Bettinelli
8 S. Johansen
33 M. O'Riley
47 A. Kamara

Coach: S. Parker

Stoke

4-3-3
1 J. Butland G
3 S. Ward D
17 R. Shawcross D
6 D. Batth D
14 T. Smith D
4 J. Allen M
11 J. McClean F
22 S. Clucas M
7 T. Ince F
24 J. Cousins M
19 L. Gregory F
Bench (7)
15 B. Martins Indi
9 S. Vokes
26 T. Campbell
38 R. Woods
18 M. Diouf
16 A. Davies
5 L. Lindsay

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,51
B
4,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.