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Premier League

Referee: M Atkinson

Everton

S U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Southampton

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,8

3,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,5

This season — Premier League · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

32%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 51%

58%

44%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 10

4 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Everton 7. · Southampton 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	26	19	5	2	+36	62
2	Man United	26	14	8	4	+21	50
3	Leicester	26	15	4	7	+15	49
4	West Ham	26	13	6	7	+9	45
5	Chelsea	26	12	8	6	+16	44
6	Liverpool	26	12	7	7	+13	43
7	Everton	24	12	4	8	+4	40
8	Tottenham	25	11	6	8	+14	39
9	Aston Villa	24	12	3	9	+12	39
10	Arsenal	26	11	4	11	+7	37
11	Leeds	26	11	2	13	-1	35
12	Wolves	26	9	7	10	-6	34
13	Crystal Palace	26	9	6	11	-14	33
14	Southampton	25	8	6	11	-12	30
15	Burnley	26	7	7	12	-16	28
16	Brighton	26	5	11	10	-7	26
17	Newcastle	26	7	5	14	-17	26
18	Fulham	26	4	11	11	-11	23
19	West Brom	26	3	8	15	-35	17
20	Sheffield United	26	3	2	21	-28	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	West Ham	13	7	3	3	+6	24
3	Chelsea	13	6	5	2	+12	23
4	Liverpool	13	7	2	4	+6	23
5	Man United	13	6	3	4	+9	21
6	Tottenham	13	6	3	4	+8	21
7	Leicester	13	6	1	6	+1	19
8	Wolves	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Arsenal	13	5	3	5	+2	18
10	Leeds	13	5	2	6	+2	17
11	Southampton	13	5	2	6	+1	17
12	Aston Villa	11	5	1	5	+4	16
13	Burnley	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Crystal Palace	13	4	4	5	-7	16
15	Newcastle	13	4	3	6	-6	15
16	Everton	12	4	2	6	-3	14
17	Brighton	13	1	7	5	-5	10
18	Fulham	13	2	4	7	-9	10
19	West Brom	13	2	4	7	-23	10
20	Sheffield United	13	2	1	10	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	13	9	3	1	+17	30
2	Leicester	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Man United	13	8	5	0	+12	29
4	Everton	12	8	2	2	+7	26
5	Aston Villa	13	7	2	4	+8	23
6	Chelsea	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	West Ham	13	6	3	4	+3	21
8	Liverpool	13	5	5	3	+7	20
9	Arsenal	13	6	1	6	+5	19
10	Tottenham	12	5	3	4	+6	18
11	Leeds	13	6	0	7	-3	18
12	Crystal Palace	13	5	2	6	-7	17
13	Brighton	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Wolves	13	4	3	6	-7	15
15	Fulham	13	2	7	4	-2	13
16	Southampton	12	3	4	5	-13	13
17	Burnley	13	3	3	7	-12	12
18	Newcastle	13	3	2	8	-11	11
19	West Brom	13	1	4	8	-12	7
20	Sheffield United	13	1	1	11	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.