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Premier League

Referee: Lee Mason

Everton

S S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Southampton

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

0,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

13 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Everton 10. · Southampton 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.