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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Wigan
T S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Fulham
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 45/42 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
52%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
49%
48%
Both score Ø 45%
42%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wigan 13. · Fulham 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 45 27 9 9 +38 90
2 West Brom 45 22 16 7 +32 82
3 Fulham 42 22 10 10 +15 76
4 Brentford 42 21 9 12 +37 72
5 Nott'm Forest 45 18 16 11 +11 70
6 Cardiff 43 18 15 10 +9 69
7 Swansea 43 17 16 10 +11 67
8 Preston 45 18 11 16 +5 65
9 Millwall 45 16 17 12 +3 65
10 Blackburn 45 17 12 16 +4 63
11 Bristol City 45 17 11 17 -5 62
12 Derby 45 16 13 16 -4 61
13 Wigan 45 15 13 17 +1 58
14 QPR 45 16 9 20 -9 57
15 Reading 45 15 11 19 +4 56
16 Sheffield Weds 45 15 11 19 -7 56
17 Stoke 45 15 8 22 -9 53
18 Huddersfield 45 13 12 20 -15 51
19 Middlesbrough 45 12 14 19 -14 50
20 Birmingham 45 12 14 19 -19 50
21 Charlton 45 12 12 21 -11 48
22 Luton 45 13 9 23 -29 48
23 Barnsley 45 11 13 21 -21 46
24 Hull 45 12 9 24 -27 45

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wigan Fulham
Sam Morsy 🟨
17′
22′
🟨 Denis Odoi
1–0 K. Moore
N. Byrne
32′
34′
🟨 Joshua Onomah
Antonee Robinson 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Joe Williams 🟨
48′
49′
N. Kebano 1–1
66′
🔁 B. Reid
↦ A. Knockaert
72′
🔁 S. Johansen
↦ H. Arter
74′
🟨 Neeskens Kebano
82′
🔁 C. Christie
↦ T. Cairney
82′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ D. Odoi
J. Gelhardt 🔁
↦ K. Dowell
84′
86′
🟨 Michael Hector
L. Evans 🔁
↦ J. Williams
93′
J. Garner 🔁
↦ L. Balogun
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wigan

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
37 L. Balogun D
3 A. Robinson D
21 C. Kipre D
5 Sam Morsy M
2 N. Byrne D
33 K. Naismith M
9 J. Lowe M
30 K. Dowell M
20 J. Williams M
19 K. Moore F
Bench (9)
38 J. Gelhardt
8 L. Evans
14 J. Garner
12 T. Pearce
25 M. Dobre
18 G. Roberts
27 J. Mlakar
23 J. Jones
11 G. Massey

Coach: P. Cook

Fulham

4-2-3-1
12 M. Rodák G
4 D. Odoi D
13 T. Ream D
3 M. Hector D
23 J. Bryan D
18 H. Arter M
10 T. Cairney M
24 A. Knockaert M
7 N. Kebano M
25 J. Onomah M
9 A. Mitrović F
Bench (9)
14 B. Reid
8 S. Johansen
22 C. Christie
47 A. Kamara
6 K. McDonald
1 M. Bettinelli
5 A. Mawson
20 M. Le Marchand
43 S. Sessegnon

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U ✓
3,61
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.