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Allsvenskan

Norrkoping

U S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Varberg

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 56%

67%

44%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

78%

44%

Average goals

3,7

2,4

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Norrkoping 1. · Varberg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	9	6	2	1	+11	20
2	Malmo FF	9	4	4	1	+4	16
3	Elfsborg	9	4	4	1	-2	16
4	Sirius	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	Hacken	9	3	5	1	+8	14
6	Varberg	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+3	13
8	Mjallby	9	4	1	4	-1	13
9	AIK	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Orebro	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Hammarby	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Goteborg	9	2	4	3	-2	10
13	Ostersunds	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Helsingborg	9	1	4	4	-7	7
15	Kalmar	9	2	0	7	-5	6
16	Falkenbergs	9	1	3	5	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Malmo FF	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Hacken	4	3	1	0	+10	10
4	Varberg	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Elfsborg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Sirius	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Orebro	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	AIK	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+1	3
15	Falkenbergs	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Ostersunds	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	5	2	2	1	-4	8
2	Norrkoping	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Sirius	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	AIK	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Ostersunds	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	Djurgarden	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Malmo FF	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Goteborg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Varberg	4	1	1	2	+1	4
11	Hacken	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Orebro	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Falkenbergs	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Helsingborg	5	0	3	2	-5	3
16	Kalmar	5	1	0	4	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.