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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Lugano

T U U U U

1–0

Full-time

Zurich

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — Super League · 32/31 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 48%

53%

42%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 23

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 7. · Zurich 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	32	19	7	6	+34	64
2	St. Gallen	32	19	5	8	+22	62
3	Basel	32	17	5	10	+31	56
4	Servette	33	11	13	9	+9	46
5	Luzern	32	12	6	14	-7	42
6	Zurich	31	12	6	13	-21	42
7	Lugano	32	8	13	11	-4	37
8	Thun	33	10	5	18	-22	35
9	Sion	31	7	8	16	-18	29
10	Xamax	32	5	12	15	-24	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	14	2	0	+33	44
2	Basel	16	11	2	3	+25	35
3	St. Gallen	16	10	2	4	+12	32
4	Servette	16	7	7	2	+12	28
5	Luzern	16	7	4	5	+3	25
6	Thun	17	7	3	7	-3	24
7	Zurich	15	7	2	6	-11	23
8	Lugano	16	4	8	4	-2	20
9	Sion	16	4	5	7	-5	17
10	Xamax	16	2	5	9	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Basel	16	6	3	7	+6	21
3	Young Boys	16	5	5	6	+1	20
4	Zurich	16	5	4	7	-10	19
5	Servette	17	4	6	7	-3	18
6	Lugano	16	4	5	7	-2	17
7	Luzern	16	5	2	9	-10	17
8	Xamax	16	3	7	6	-15	16
9	Sion	15	3	3	9	-13	12
10	Thun	16	3	2	11	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.