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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Coventry
T
3–2
Full-time
QPR
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 15. · QPR 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 QPR 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Reading 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Luton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry QPR
41′
⚽ L. Dykes 0–1
1–1 M. Godden ⚽
R. Giles
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 C. O'Hare ⚽
50′
Jordan Shipley 🟨
60′
65′
🟨 Ilias Chair
71′
🔁 P. Smyth
↦ T. Carroll
75′
⚽ Y. Barbet 2–2
82′
🔁 D. Ball
↦ L. Amos
82′
🔁 G. Thomas
↦ I. Chair
3–2 K. McFadzean ⚽
G. Hamer
84′
88′
🟨 Lee Wallace
B. Sheaf 🔁
↦ J. Shipley
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Coventry

3-4-3
1 M. Maroši G
5 K. McFadzean D
23 F. Dabo M
15 D. Hyam D
2 L. Oestigaard D
8 J. Allen F
18 R. Giles M
11 C. O'Hare F
38 G. Hamer M
26 J. Shipley M
24 M. Godden F
Bench (7)
14 B. Sheaf
3 B. Mason
16 J. Pask
20 A. Bakayoko
19 T. Walker
31 T. Billson
4 M. Rose

Coach: M. Robins

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lumley G
3 L. Wallace D
20 G. Cameron M
6 Y. Barbet D
4 R. Dickie D
24 O. Kakay D
22 T. Carroll M
11 B. Osayi-Samuel M
10 I. Chair M
8 L. Amos M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
38 P. Smyth
12 D. Ball
19 G. Thomas
2 T. Kane
23 C. Masterson
18 A. Oteh
32 L. Kelly

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
3,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,04
🔒
U2,5
1,78
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.