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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Charleroi

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Beerschot VA

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Beerschot VA

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 90%

100%

80%

Points per game

3,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

33%

80%

Both score Ø 47%

33%

60%

Average goals

2,5

3,6

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 90%

100%

80%

Points per game

3,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

20%

60%

Average goals

2,0

3,6

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 1. · Beerschot VA 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Standard	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Kortrijk	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Beerschot VA	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	Waregem	7	4	0	3	+3	12
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Anderlecht	6	2	4	0	+4	10
8	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+8	9
9	Antwerp	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Cercle Brugge	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Eupen	5	1	3	1	-3	6
13	St Truiden	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Genk	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Waasland-Beveren	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Beveren	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Oostende	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Mouscron	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Gent	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	+2	7
3	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+4	6
4	Waregem	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Beerschot VA	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Oostende	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Waasland-Beveren	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Standard	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Kortrijk	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Beerschot VA	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Genk	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Antwerp	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Cercle Brugge	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Waasland-Beveren	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Beveren	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Eupen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Oostende	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	St Truiden	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Gent	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.