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2. Bundesliga
Hamburg
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 8
20 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,49
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.