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Championship

Referee: A Davies

Barnsley

U T U U U

3–0

Full-time

QPR

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley QPR

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Championship · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

43%

14%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 10

11 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

1 Corners 5

7 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Barnsley 22. · QPR 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Bristol City	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Watford	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Bournemouth	7	3	4	0	+4	13
5	Norwich	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Swansea	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Millwall	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Stoke	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Luton	7	4	0	3	+0	12
10	Blackburn	7	3	1	3	+9	10
11	Brentford	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Preston	7	3	1	3	+2	10
13	Middlesbrough	7	2	4	1	+1	10
14	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	-2	10
15	Cardiff	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Sheffield Weds	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	QPR	7	1	4	2	-1	7
18	Birmingham	7	1	4	2	-1	7
19	Rotherham	7	1	3	3	-4	6
20	Nott'm Forest	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	Coventry	7	1	2	4	-8	5
22	Barnsley	7	0	4	3	-4	4
23	Derby	7	1	1	5	-8	4
24	Wycombe	7	0	0	7	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Watford	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Norwich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Brentford	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Millwall	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Luton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Huddersfield	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	QPR	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Stoke	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	+4	4
14	Swansea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Barnsley	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Sheffield Weds	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nott'm Forest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-3	2
21	Rotherham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Preston	3	0	0	3	-3	0
23	Wycombe	3	0	0	3	-4	0
24	Derby	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Swansea	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Reading	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Cardiff	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	+5	6
8	Bournemouth	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Sheffield Weds	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Luton	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Rotherham	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Watford	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Brentford	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Derby	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-2	4
19	Birmingham	4	0	3	1	-1	3
20	Nott'm Forest	3	1	0	2	-2	3
21	QPR	3	0	2	1	-1	2
22	Barnsley	4	0	2	2	-3	2
23	Coventry	3	0	1	2	-3	1
24	Wycombe	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.