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Championship
Referee: A Marriner
Swansea
S S T U U
2–0
Full-time
Stoke
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
29%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 6. · Stoke 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reading 7 6 1 0 +10 19
2 Bristol City 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Watford 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Bournemouth 7 3 4 0 +4 13
5 Norwich 7 4 1 2 +2 13
6 Swansea 7 3 3 1 +3 12
7 Millwall 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Stoke 7 3 3 1 +2 12
9 Luton 7 4 0 3 +0 12
10 Blackburn 7 3 1 3 +9 10
11 Brentford 7 3 1 3 +2 10
12 Preston 7 3 1 3 +2 10
13 Middlesbrough 7 2 4 1 +1 10
14 Huddersfield 7 3 1 3 -2 10
15 Cardiff 7 2 3 2 +0 9
16 Sheffield Weds 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Barnsley 8 1 4 3 -1 7
18 Birmingham 7 1 4 2 -1 7
19 QPR 8 1 4 3 -4 7
20 Rotherham 7 1 3 3 -4 6
21 Nott'm Forest 7 1 2 4 -5 5
22 Coventry 7 1 2 4 -8 5
23 Derby 7 1 1 5 -8 4
24 Wycombe 7 0 0 7 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Stoke
1–0 J. Fulton
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Gunn
↦ A. Davies
51′
🟨 Tommy Smith
Matt Grimes 🟨
53′
66′
🔁 T. Campbell
↦ J. Tymon
K. Palmer 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
74′
B. Cabango 🔁
↦ R. Bennett
74′
J. Bidwell 🔁
↦ R. Manning
74′
81′
🔁 S. Fletcher
↦ M. Fox
84′
🟨 James McClean
Kasey Palmer 🟨
85′
87′
🟨 Angus Gunn
2–0 K. Palmer
J. Bidwell
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-1-2
1 F. Woodman G
26 K. Naughton D
2 R. Bennett D
23 C. Roberts M
5 M. Guehi D
6 J. Fulton M
3 R. Manning M
8 M. Grimes M
10 A. Ayew F
9 J. Lowe F
21 Y. Dhanda F
Bench (7)
45 K. Palmer
44 B. Cabango
24 J. Bidwell
14 V. Gyökeres
7 K. Smith
20 L. Cullen
13 S. Benda

Coach: S. Cooper

Stoke

5-3-2
16 A. Davies G
12 J. Chester D
14 T. Smith D
3 M. Fox D
36 H. Souttar D
35 J. Tymon M
13 M. Obi M
11 J. McClean D
20 T. Oakley-Boothe M
9 S. Vokes F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
1 A. Gunn
26 T. Campbell
21 S. Fletcher
24 J. Cousins
19 L. Gregory
6 D. Batth
25 N. Powell

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
3,08
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Marriner · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.