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Championship

Referee: D Webb

Middlesbrough

U S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Coventry

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Coventry

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

This season — Championship · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

14%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

1,6

2,9

Scored

0,9

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 13. · Coventry 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Bristol City	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Watford	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Bournemouth	7	3	4	0	+4	13
5	Norwich	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Swansea	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Millwall	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Stoke	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Luton	7	4	0	3	+0	12
10	Blackburn	7	3	1	3	+9	10
11	Brentford	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Preston	7	3	1	3	+2	10
13	Middlesbrough	7	2	4	1	+1	10
14	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	-2	10
15	Cardiff	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Sheffield Weds	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Barnsley	8	1	4	3	-1	7
18	Birmingham	7	1	4	2	-1	7
19	QPR	8	1	4	3	-4	7
20	Rotherham	7	1	3	3	-4	6
21	Nott'm Forest	7	1	2	4	-5	5
22	Coventry	7	1	2	4	-8	5
23	Derby	7	1	1	5	-8	4
24	Wycombe	7	0	0	7	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Watford	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Norwich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Brentford	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Millwall	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Luton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Huddersfield	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Barnsley	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	QPR	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Stoke	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	+4	4
15	Swansea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Sheffield Weds	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nott'm Forest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-3	2
21	Rotherham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Preston	3	0	0	3	-3	0
23	Wycombe	3	0	0	3	-4	0
24	Derby	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Swansea	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Reading	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Cardiff	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	+5	6
8	Bournemouth	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Sheffield Weds	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Luton	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Rotherham	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Watford	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Brentford	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Derby	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-2	4
19	Birmingham	4	0	3	1	-1	3
20	Nott'm Forest	3	1	0	2	-2	3
21	Barnsley	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	QPR	4	0	2	2	-4	2
23	Coventry	3	0	1	2	-3	1
24	Wycombe	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.