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Championship

Referee: G Eltringham

Rotherham

U S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Cardiff

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Championship · 26/27 matches

Win Ø 32%

31%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

54%

41%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

48%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rotherham 21. · Cardiff 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	28	16	7	5	+12	55
2	Brentford	25	14	8	3	+24	50
3	Reading	27	14	6	7	+11	48
4	Watford	28	13	9	6	+11	48
5	Swansea	24	13	7	4	+16	46
6	Bournemouth	27	12	9	6	+16	45
7	Middlesbrough	28	11	7	10	+3	40
8	Blackburn	27	11	6	10	+12	39
9	Stoke	28	9	12	7	+3	39
10	Bristol City	28	12	3	13	-4	39
11	Barnsley	25	10	6	9	-1	36
12	Preston	28	11	3	14	-4	36
13	Millwall	28	7	14	7	+0	35
14	Cardiff	27	9	7	11	+4	34
15	Luton	27	9	7	11	-7	34
16	QPR	27	8	9	10	-6	33
17	Huddersfield	28	9	6	13	-8	33
18	Nott'm Forest	28	8	8	12	-5	32
19	Coventry	28	7	10	11	-11	31
20	Sheffield Weds	27	8	7	12	-11	31
21	Rotherham	26	8	5	13	-4	29
22	Derby	27	7	7	13	-11	28
23	Birmingham	28	6	10	12	-13	28
24	Wycombe	26	3	7	16	-27	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	14	10	2	2	+13	32
2	Norwich	14	8	5	1	+9	29
3	Bournemouth	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	Reading	13	9	0	4	+9	27
5	Swansea	13	7	5	1	+10	26
6	Brentford	12	7	4	1	+13	25
7	Huddersfield	14	7	2	5	+5	23
8	Middlesbrough	14	7	2	5	+3	23
9	Bristol City	14	7	2	5	+1	23
10	Blackburn	13	6	4	3	+7	22
11	Barnsley	12	6	3	3	+3	21
12	Coventry	14	5	6	3	+0	21
13	Luton	13	5	5	3	+2	20
14	Sheffield Weds	13	5	5	3	+2	20
15	Stoke	14	5	4	5	-1	19
16	Nott'm Forest	14	4	5	5	+0	17
17	QPR	13	4	4	5	-2	16
18	Cardiff	14	4	3	7	+2	15
19	Rotherham	13	4	3	6	+1	15
20	Millwall	14	2	9	3	+0	15
21	Preston	14	4	2	8	-4	14
22	Derby	14	3	4	7	-8	13
23	Wycombe	14	2	5	7	-9	11
24	Birmingham	14	2	3	9	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	14	8	2	4	+3	26
2	Brentford	13	7	4	2	+11	25
3	Preston	14	7	1	6	+0	22
4	Reading	14	5	6	3	+2	21
5	Swansea	11	6	2	3	+6	20
6	Stoke	14	4	8	2	+4	20
7	Millwall	14	5	5	4	+0	20
8	Cardiff	13	5	4	4	+2	19
9	Birmingham	14	4	7	3	+1	19
10	Bournemouth	13	4	6	3	+5	18
11	Blackburn	14	5	2	7	+5	17
12	Middlesbrough	14	4	5	5	+0	17
13	QPR	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Watford	14	3	7	4	-2	16
15	Bristol City	14	5	1	8	-5	16
16	Derby	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Barnsley	13	4	3	6	-4	15
18	Nott'm Forest	14	4	3	7	-5	15
19	Rotherham	13	4	2	7	-5	14
20	Luton	14	4	2	8	-9	14
21	Sheffield Weds	14	3	2	9	-13	11
22	Coventry	14	2	4	8	-11	10
23	Huddersfield	14	2	4	8	-13	10
24	Wycombe	12	1	2	9	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.