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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Cardiff
S T T T T
0–1
Full-time
QPR
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 29%
35%
22%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
43%
30%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 15. · QPR 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 25 16 5 4 +14 53
2 Watford 24 12 7 5 +11 43
3 Reading 24 13 4 7 +9 43
4 Bournemouth 24 11 9 4 +18 42
5 Swansea 21 11 6 4 +12 39
6 Brentford 20 10 7 3 +14 37
7 Stoke 25 9 10 6 +4 37
8 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 +9 36
9 Bristol City 24 11 3 10 -1 36
10 Barnsley 23 10 4 9 -1 34
11 Blackburn 24 9 6 9 +11 33
12 Luton 24 9 6 9 -5 33
13 Preston 24 10 2 12 -3 32
14 Huddersfield 24 9 4 11 -6 31
15 Cardiff 23 8 5 10 +3 29
16 Millwall 23 5 11 7 -4 26
17 Birmingham 24 6 8 10 -11 26
18 Coventry 24 6 8 10 -12 26
19 Nott'm Forest 24 6 7 11 -8 25
20 Sheffield Weds 23 6 7 10 -8 25
21 QPR 23 5 9 9 -8 24
22 Derby 24 5 7 12 -10 22
23 Rotherham 22 5 5 12 -9 20
24 Wycombe 23 3 6 14 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff QPR
36′
🟨 Yoann Barbet
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Geoff Cameron
M. Harris 🔁
↦ M. Watters
55′
70′
🔁 M. Bonne
↦ C. Austin
71′
C. Willock 0–1
M. Bonne
S. Ojo 🔁
↦ W. Vaulks
76′
R. Glatzel 🔁
↦ P. Ng
76′
83′
🔁 O. Kakay
↦ C. Willock
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ H. Wilson
85′
89′
🟨 Ilias Chair
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-3-3
12 A. Smithies G
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
16 C. Nelson D
38 P. Ng D
7 L. Bacuna M
8 J. Ralls M
6 W. Vaulks M
23 H. Wilson F
10 K. Moore F
19 M. Watters F
Bench (9)
29 M. Harris
27 S. Ojo
9 R. Glatzel
11 J. Murphy
28 T. Sang
1 D. Phillips
36 K. Patten
32 J. Bagan
33 J. Hoilett

Coach: N. Harris

QPR

5-3-2
13 T. Dieng G
20 G. Cameron D
12 D. Ball M
6 Y. Barbet D
2 T. Kane D
4 R. Dickie D
25 N. Hamalainen D
10 I. Chair M
45 C. Austin F
21 C. Willock M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (8)
7 M. Bonne
24 O. Kakay
1 J. Lumley
29 C. Kelman
37 A. Adomah
26 F. Bettache
41 S. Duke-McKenna
19 G. Thomas

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,33
B ✓
3,30
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.