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Championship
Referee: David Coote
Rotherham
S T U U T
1–2
Full-time
Cardiff
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
13%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
88%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
3,6
2,5
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 21. · Cardiff 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 8 6 1 1 +5 19
2 Norwich 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Newcastle 8 5 0 3 +10 15
4 Barnsley 8 5 0 3 +8 15
5 Birmingham 8 4 3 1 +4 15
6 Brentford 8 4 2 2 +8 14
7 Brighton 8 4 2 2 +4 14
8 Reading 8 4 2 2 -1 14
9 Fulham 8 3 4 1 +2 13
10 Wolves 8 3 3 2 +1 12
11 Ipswich 8 3 3 2 +1 12
12 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 +1 11
13 Nott'm Forest 8 3 2 3 -1 11
14 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 -2 11
15 Leeds 8 3 1 4 -2 10
16 QPR 8 3 1 4 -4 10
17 Burton Albion 8 2 3 3 +0 9
18 Preston 9 3 0 6 -4 9
19 Aston Villa 8 1 5 2 +0 8
20 Derby 8 1 3 4 -5 6
21 Rotherham 8 1 3 4 -11 6
22 Wigan 9 1 2 6 -3 5
23 Blackburn 8 1 2 5 -7 5
24 Cardiff 8 1 2 5 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Cardiff
30′
🟨 Stuart O'Keefe
Half-time 1–0
1–0 I. Brown
60′
69′
🟨 Matthew Connolly
70′
🔁 K. Harris
↦ J. Ralls
73′
R. Lambert 1–1
P. Whittingham
79′
R. Lambert 1–2
S. Morrison
Greg Halford 🟨
81′
D. Blackstock 🔁
↦ J. Newell
82′
88′
🔁 B. Écuélé Manga
↦ L. Peltier
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-4-1-1
1 L. Camp G
15 G. Halford M
16 K. Wilson D
3 J. Mattock D
17 D. Fisher D
18 D. Fry D
8 L. Frecklington M
11 J. Taylor M
22 J. Newell M
9 D. Ward F
37 I. Brown M
Bench (7)
20 D. Blackstock
4 W. Vaulks
7 A. Forde
10 J. Forster-Caskey
12 L. Price
14 D. Ball
39 J. Yates

Coach: A. Stubbs

Cardiff

4-1-4-1
21 B. Amos G
16 M. Connolly D
2 L. Peltier D
4 S. Morrison D
6 J. Richards D
7 P. Whittingham M
11 C. Noone M
22 S. O'Keefe M
10 L. Immers M
8 J. Ralls M
19 R. Lambert F
Bench (7)
24 K. Harris
5 B. Écuélé Manga
12 D. John
23 M. Kennedy
25 E. Huws
26 K. Zohorè
30 B. Wilson

Coach: P. Trollope

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.