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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

U U S T T

1–0

Full-time

Regensburg

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

69%

Both score Ø 69%

63%

75%

Average goals

3,1

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 7. · Regensburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	16	9	6	1	+17	33
2	Hamburg	16	8	5	3	+17	29
3	Stuttgart	16	9	2	5	+6	29
4	Heidenheim	16	7	5	4	+7	26
5	Osnabruck	16	6	5	5	+5	23
6	Regensburg	16	6	5	5	+4	23
7	Erzgebirge Aue	16	6	5	5	+0	23
8	Sandhausen	16	5	7	4	+1	22
9	Greuther Furth	16	6	4	6	-1	22
10	Holstein Kiel	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	Karlsruhe	16	4	8	4	-2	20
12	Hannover	16	5	5	6	-7	20
13	Darmstadt	16	4	7	5	-5	19
14	Bochum	16	3	8	5	-2	17
15	St Pauli	16	3	6	7	-4	15
16	Nurnberg	16	3	6	7	-10	15
17	Wehen	16	3	5	8	-13	14
18	Dresden	16	3	4	9	-12	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	9	7	0	2	+10	21
2	Hamburg	8	6	1	1	+14	19
3	Erzgebirge Aue	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Heidenheim	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Greuther Furth	8	5	1	2	+3	16
6	Sandhausen	8	4	3	1	+3	15
7	Osnabruck	8	4	2	2	+6	14
8	Regensburg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
9	Bochum	8	2	6	0	+4	12
10	Karlsruhe	7	3	3	1	+4	12
11	Bielefeld	8	2	5	1	+2	11
12	St Pauli	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Dresden	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Darmstadt	7	2	4	1	+1	10
15	Holstein Kiel	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Hannover	8	1	4	3	-6	7
17	Nurnberg	8	1	4	3	-9	7
18	Wehen	9	1	3	5	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	8	7	1	0	+15	22
2	Hannover	8	4	1	3	-1	13
3	Holstein Kiel	8	4	0	4	+1	12
4	Hamburg	8	2	4	2	+3	10
5	Heidenheim	8	2	4	2	+0	10
6	Regensburg	8	2	3	3	+1	9
7	Osnabruck	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Darmstadt	9	2	3	4	-6	9
9	Wehen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Stuttgart	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Karlsruhe	9	1	5	3	-6	8
13	Sandhausen	8	1	4	3	-2	7
14	Greuther Furth	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Erzgebirge Aue	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Bochum	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	St Pauli	8	0	4	4	-5	4
18	Dresden	7	0	2	5	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.