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Pro League

Referee: Christof Dierick

Kortrijk

T U T U T

1–2

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 21/18 matches

Win Ø 24%

19%

28%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

62%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

61%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Corners 3

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · Royal Excel Mouscron 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	20	16	3	1	+35	51
2	Standard	21	12	5	4	+21	41
3	Charleroi	20	12	5	3	+17	41
4	Antwerp	21	12	4	5	+18	40
5	Gent	20	11	5	4	+18	38
6	Waregem	20	9	5	6	+6	32
7	Genk	21	9	5	7	+5	32
8	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+3	32
9	Mouscron	19	6	8	5	+2	26
10	Anderlecht	20	5	9	6	+0	24
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	18	5	8	5	+1	23
12	St Truiden	20	6	5	9	-12	23
13	Eupen	20	5	5	10	-16	20
14	Kortrijk	21	4	4	13	-12	16
15	Oostende	20	4	4	12	-16	16
16	Cercle Brugge	21	3	4	14	-24	13
17	Waasland-Beveren	18	2	5	11	-23	11
18	Beveren	18	2	5	11	-23	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Standard	11	9	1	1	+19	28
3	Antwerp	9	8	1	0	+15	25
4	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+18	24
5	Charleroi	10	7	1	2	+5	22
6	Genk	10	6	1	3	+2	19
7	Waregem	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Mouscron	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	4	4	1	+6	16
10	Anderlecht	11	3	6	2	+3	15
11	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Oostende	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Kortrijk	11	3	2	6	-1	11
14	St Truiden	11	2	5	4	-3	11
15	Cercle Brugge	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	Eupen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
17	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5
18	Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+17	27
2	Charleroi	10	5	4	1	+12	19
3	Mechelen	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	Waregem	11	4	4	3	-2	16
5	Antwerp	12	4	3	5	+3	15
6	Genk	11	3	4	4	+3	13
7	Standard	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	St Truiden	9	4	0	5	-9	12
9	Gent	10	2	4	4	-3	10
10	Mouscron	10	2	4	4	-4	10
11	Eupen	10	3	1	6	-11	10
12	Anderlecht	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	1	4	4	-5	7
14	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	3	5	-8	6
15	Beveren	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Kortrijk	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	Oostende	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Cercle Brugge	10	0	2	8	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.