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Championship
Referee: A Davies
Birmingham
S T T S U
0–2
Full-time
Bournemouth
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,5
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 11. · Bournemouth 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Luton 4 3 0 1 +6 9
2 Fulham 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Stoke 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Cardiff 4 1 3 0 +2 6
5 Coventry 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 QPR 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 West Brom 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Bournemouth 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Bristol City 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Peterboro 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 Peterborough 3 1 1 1 -2 4
16 Huddersfield 3 1 1 1 -3 4
17 Hull 2 1 0 1 +0 3
18 Reading 3 1 0 2 -1 3
19 Millwall 3 0 2 1 -1 2
20 Sheffield United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Derby 3 0 1 2 -2 1
22 Swansea 3 0 1 2 -3 1
23 Blackpool 3 0 1 2 -3 1
24 Nott'm Forest 2 0 0 2 -2 0
25 Preston 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Bournemouth
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 J. Stanislas
↦ E. Marcondes
69′
🔁 B. Pearson
↦ L. Davis
C. Aneke 🔁
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
70′
Kristian Pedersen 🟨
73′
77′
D. Solanke 0–1
B. Pearson
S. Hogan 🔁
↦ J. Leko
79′
Iván Sánchez 🔁
↦ T. Chong
87′
87′
J. Anthony 0–2
Z. Rossi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Birmingham

3-4-2-1
13 M. Šarkić G
12 H. Dean D
2 M. Colin M
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
20 G. Gardner M
11 Jérémie Bela M
6 R. Woods M
7 T. Chong F
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
14 J. Leko F
Bench (7)
15 C. Aneke
9 S. Hogan
17 Iván Sánchez
34 I. Šunjić
27 C. Trueman
23 J. Familia-Castillo
5 G. Friend

Coach: L. Bowyer

Bournemouth

4-3-3
42 M. Travers G
5 L. Kelly D
6 C. Mepham D
33 J. Zemura D
20 L. Davis F
35 Z. Rossi D
11 E. Marcondes M
29 P. Billing M
26 G. Kilkenny M
9 D. Solanke F
32 J. Anthony F
Bench (7)
19 J. Stanislas
22 B. Pearson
1 Ø. Nyland
39 N. Moriah-Welsh
44 B. Camp
28 K. Taylor
38 C. Saydee

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U
3,20
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.