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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Hull

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Derby

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Derby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,2

-0,7

This season — Championship · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hull 17. · Derby 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Cardiff	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Coventry	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	QPR	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Peterboro	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Peterborough	3	1	1	1	-2	4
16	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-3	4
17	Hull	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Reading	3	1	0	2	-1	3
19	Millwall	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Sheffield United	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Derby	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Swansea	3	0	1	2	-3	1
23	Blackpool	3	0	1	2	-3	1
24	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-2	0
25	Preston	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Peterboro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Peterborough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Hull	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Blackpool	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Cardiff	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Derby	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Peterboro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.