← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: S Hooper
Hull
U S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Derby
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Hull Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
69%
54%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
62%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 14. · Derby 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 13 7 5 1 +9 26
2 Leeds 14 7 4 3 +9 25
3 Sheffield Weds 14 7 3 4 +8 24
4 Bristol City 13 6 5 2 +3 23
5 QPR 13 7 2 4 +0 23
6 Preston 13 6 4 3 +10 22
7 Swansea 12 6 4 2 +7 22
8 Nott'm Forest 13 6 4 3 +5 22
9 Fulham 12 6 3 3 +9 21
10 Charlton 13 6 3 4 +5 21
11 Birmingham 13 6 1 6 -3 19
12 Derby 13 4 6 3 -2 18
13 Cardiff 12 4 5 3 +0 17
14 Hull 13 4 4 5 -2 16
15 Brentford 12 4 3 5 +1 15
16 Blackburn 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Millwall 13 3 6 4 -5 15
18 Luton 13 4 2 7 -3 14
19 Wigan 13 4 2 7 -7 14
20 Reading 13 3 3 7 -5 12
21 Middlesbrough 13 2 5 6 -6 11
22 Huddersfield 13 2 4 7 -6 10
23 Stoke 13 2 2 9 -10 8
24 Barnsley 13 1 5 7 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Derby
Jackson Irvine 🟨
11′
Josh Bowler 🟨
44′
Jordy de Wijs 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Duane Holmes
Callum Elder 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 M. Whittaker
↦ K. Dowell
T. Eaves 🔁
↦ J. Bowler
72′
1–0 J. Bowen
K. Grosicki
74′
K. Stewart 🔁
↦ Jon Toral
77′
79′
🔁 J. Marriott
↦ C. Martin
79′
🔁 M. Waghorn
↦ G. Shinnie
2–0 J. Bowen
K. Grosicki
80′
G. Honeyman 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 G. Long G
2 E. Lichaj D
4 J. de Wijs D
5 R. Burke D
26 C. Elder D
36 J. Irvine M
10 Jon Toral F
37 Leonardo Lopes M
19 J. Bowler M
11 K. Grosicki M
20 J. Bowen F
Bench (7)
9 T. Eaves
6 K. Stewart
18 G. Honeyman
23 S. Kingsley
13 M. Ingram
25 M. Pennington
3 R. Tafazolli

Coach: G. McCann

Derby

4-2-3-1
21 K. Roos G
33 C. Davies D
4 G. Shinnie M
25 M. Lowe D
37 J. Bogle D
10 T. Lawrence M
23 D. Holmes M
16 M. Clarke D
5 K. Bielik M
8 K. Dowell M
19 C. Martin F
Bench (7)
49 M. Whittaker
14 J. Marriott
9 M. Waghorn
46 S. Malone
12 B. Hamer
41 M. Bird
2 A. Wisdom

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
U
3,55
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.