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2. Bundesliga
0–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
47%
53%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
68%
47%
Both score Ø 55%
47%
63%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 7
9 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Holstein Kiel 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 20 12 5 3 +21 41
2 Bochum 20 12 3 5 +16 39
3 Greuther Furth 20 11 5 4 +17 38
4 Holstein Kiel 19 10 6 3 +13 36
5 Karlsruhe 20 10 3 7 +6 33
6 Hannover 20 10 2 8 +9 32
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 9 5 5 +4 32
8 Erzgebirge Aue 20 8 5 7 +2 29
9 Paderborn 19 7 5 7 +1 26
10 Heidenheim 19 7 5 7 +0 26
11 Regensburg 20 6 7 7 -3 25
12 Nurnberg 20 6 5 9 -5 23
13 Darmstadt 20 6 4 10 -5 22
14 St Pauli 20 5 7 8 -6 22
15 Osnabruck 20 6 4 10 -10 22
16 Sandhausen 20 5 3 12 -17 18
17 Braunschweig 20 4 5 11 -22 17
18 Wurzburger Kickers 20 3 3 14 -21 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,36
B ✓
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.