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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

U S T S S

1–1

Full-time

Dresden

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 3

10 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 7. · Dresden 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Paderborn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Ingolstadt	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Heidenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.