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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

S U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Dresden

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 39%

54%

23%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Dresden 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	13	8	4	1	+15	28
2	Hamburg	13	7	5	1	+18	26
3	Erzgebirge Aue	14	6	5	3	+3	23
4	Stuttgart	13	7	2	4	+2	23
5	Heidenheim	13	5	5	3	+7	20
6	Greuther Furth	13	5	3	5	-2	18
7	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	+4	17
8	Osnabruck	14	4	5	5	+2	17
9	Sandhausen	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Karlsruhe	13	3	7	3	-2	16
11	St Pauli	14	3	6	5	-2	15
12	Holstein Kiel	13	4	3	6	-3	15
13	Darmstadt	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Bochum	14	2	8	4	-2	14
15	Nurnberg	13	3	5	5	-6	14
16	Hannover	13	3	5	5	-8	14
17	Dresden	13	3	3	7	-10	12
18	Wehen	13	2	4	7	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Erzgebirge Aue	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Hamburg	6	5	1	0	+14	16
3	Stuttgart	7	5	0	2	+5	15
4	Heidenheim	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Sandhausen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Greuther Furth	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Osnabruck	7	3	2	2	+5	11
8	St Pauli	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Darmstadt	6	2	4	0	+3	10
10	Dresden	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Bochum	7	1	6	0	+2	9
12	Bielefeld	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	Karlsruhe	6	2	3	1	+1	9
14	Holstein Kiel	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	Regensburg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Nurnberg	7	1	4	2	-7	7
17	Wehen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Hannover	6	0	4	2	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Hamburg	7	2	4	1	+4	10
3	Hannover	7	3	1	3	-2	10
4	Regensburg	7	2	3	2	+4	9
5	Stuttgart	6	2	2	2	-3	8
6	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Heidenheim	6	1	4	1	+1	7
8	Karlsruhe	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Greuther Furth	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Holstein Kiel	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Osnabruck	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Erzgebirge Aue	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Wehen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Sandhausen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Bochum	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Darmstadt	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	St Pauli	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Dresden	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.