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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Ingolstadt

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Ingolstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 5%

10%

Points per game

0,4

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

70%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

19 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 3

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 18. · Ingolstadt 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Regensburg	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Schalke 04	10	6	1	3	+6	19
4	Paderborn	10	5	3	2	+10	18
5	Nurnberg	10	4	6	0	+5	18
6	Darmstadt	10	5	1	4	+11	16
7	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Hamburg	10	3	6	1	+4	15
9	Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	-1	15
10	Werder Bremen	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Dresden	10	4	1	5	+1	13
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Hansa Rostock	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Hannover	10	3	2	5	-6	11
15	Holstein Kiel	10	2	3	5	-10	9
16	Sandhausen	10	2	2	6	-12	8
17	Ingolstadt	10	1	2	7	-17	5
18	Erzgebirge Aue	10	0	4	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Darmstadt	5	4	0	1	+11	12
3	Regensburg	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Nurnberg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Dresden	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Heidenheim	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Schalke 04	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Hamburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Hannover	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Paderborn	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Hansa Rostock	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Holstein Kiel	5	1	0	4	-8	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Ingolstadt	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Sandhausen	5	0	1	4	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Schalke 04	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Hamburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Regensburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	St Pauli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Nurnberg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Hansa Rostock	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Heidenheim	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Holstein Kiel	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Hannover	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Darmstadt	5	1	1	3	+0	4
16	Dresden	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Ingolstadt	5	1	0	4	-12	3
18	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	2	3	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.