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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Sampdoria

S T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Spezia

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 82%

75%

88%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,8

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

29% Possession 71%

6 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 17. · Spezia 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Milan	8	7	1	0	+11	22
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Roma	8	5	0	3	+7	15
5	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Atalanta	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Juventus	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Bologna	8	3	3	2	-2	12
9	Fiorentina	8	4	0	4	-2	12
10	Torino	9	3	2	4	+2	11
11	Udinese	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Empoli	8	3	0	5	-6	9
13	Verona	8	2	2	4	+0	8
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-6	8
16	Spezia	8	2	1	5	-10	7
17	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Genoa	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Salernitana	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Roma	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Bologna	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
7	Torino	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Verona	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Venezia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Spezia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Empoli	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Milan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Torino	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-8	4
16	Roma	4	1	0	3	+1	3
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-7	2
19	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.