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2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04

T T U S T

4–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

44%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

25 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 8. · Nurnberg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	11	2	3	+17	35
2	Darmstadt	16	9	2	5	+18	29
3	Regensburg	16	8	4	4	+10	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	6	3	+12	27
5	Nurnberg	16	7	6	3	+7	27
6	Heidenheim	16	8	3	5	-1	27
7	Hamburg	16	6	8	2	+10	26
8	Schalke 04	16	8	2	6	+8	26
9	Werder Bremen	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	Karlsruhe	16	5	6	5	+2	21
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	4	7	-1	19
12	Dresden	16	6	1	9	-3	19
13	Hansa Rostock	16	5	4	7	-7	19
14	Holstein Kiel	16	4	5	7	-10	17
15	Hannover	16	4	5	7	-11	17
16	Erzgebirge Aue	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Sandhausen	16	3	4	9	-17	13
18	Ingolstadt	16	1	4	11	-25	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	8	8	0	0	+19	24
2	Darmstadt	8	6	0	2	+15	18
3	Heidenheim	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Regensburg	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Nurnberg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Dresden	8	5	0	3	+6	15
7	Hamburg	8	3	5	0	+7	14
8	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+6	13
9	Werder Bremen	8	3	3	2	+5	12
10	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+4	12
11	Hannover	8	3	2	3	-2	11
12	Holstein Kiel	8	3	1	4	-6	10
13	Paderborn	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Erzgebirge Aue	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Hansa Rostock	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Ingolstadt	7	0	3	4	-8	3
18	Sandhausen	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+2	13
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	1	4	+0	13
4	Hamburg	8	3	3	2	+3	12
5	Darmstadt	8	3	2	3	+3	11
6	Regensburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	St Pauli	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Hansa Rostock	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Nurnberg	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Sandhausen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Karlsruhe	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Heidenheim	7	3	0	4	-6	9
14	Holstein Kiel	8	1	4	3	-4	7
15	Erzgebirge Aue	8	1	3	4	-8	6
16	Hannover	8	1	3	4	-9	6
17	Dresden	8	1	1	6	-9	4
18	Ingolstadt	9	1	1	7	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.