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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
FC Koln
T U U S U
0–2
Full-time
Augsburg
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 72%
86%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 9. · Augsburg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 11 1 2 +30 34
2 Dortmund 14 10 0 4 +13 30
3 Leverkusen 14 8 3 3 +16 27
4 Freiburg 14 7 4 3 +12 25
5 Hoffenheim 14 7 2 5 +8 23
6 Union Berlin 14 6 5 3 +2 23
7 Mainz 14 6 3 5 +6 21
8 Wolfsburg 14 6 2 6 -5 20
9 FC Koln 14 4 7 3 +0 19
10 Bochum 14 6 1 7 -7 19
11 RB Leipzig 14 5 3 6 +7 18
12 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 6 4 -2 18
13 M'gladbach 14 5 3 6 -6 18
14 Hertha 14 4 3 7 -14 15
15 Stuttgart 14 3 5 6 -5 14
16 Augsburg 14 3 4 7 -11 13
17 Bielefeld 14 1 7 6 -10 10
18 Greuther Furth 14 0 1 13 -34 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Augsburg
25′
🟨 Michael Gregoritsch
40′
🟨 Niklas Dorsch
Half-time 0–0
Luca Kilian 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
58′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ J. Morávek
58′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ D. Caligiuri
72′
A. Hahn 0–1
79′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ M. Gregoritsch
79′
🔁 N. Sarenren Bazee
↦ R. Vargas
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ S. Andersson
83′
J. Thielmann 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
83′
86′
🟨 Sergio Córdova
Salih Özcan 🟨
87′
Jorge Meré 🔁
↦ B. Schmitz
87′
88′
N. Dorsch 0–2
93′
🔁 R. Framberger
↦ A. Hahn
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-1-3-2
20 M. Schwäbe G
5 R. Czichos D
2 B. Schmitz D
15 L. Kilian D
11 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
18 O. Duda M
6 S. Özcan M
7 D. Ljubičić M
27 A. Modeste F
9 S. Andersson F
Bench (9)
21 L. Schaub
29 J. Thielmann
22 Jorge Meré
4 T. Hübers
17 K. Schindler
47 M. Olesen
40 J. Urbig
19 K. Ehizibue
23 J. Horn

Coach: S. Baumgart

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
4 R. Oxford D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
14 J. Morávek M
30 N. Dorsch M
16 R. Vargas M
11 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
3 M. Pedersen
24 F. Jensen
9 S. Córdova
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
32 R. Framberger
38 D. Salifou
26 F. Winther
40 T. Koubek
29 L. Günther

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U
3,98
B ✓
4,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.