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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
0–1
Full-time
Gil Vicente
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
15%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 13. · Gil Vicente 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 13 11 2 0 +25 35
2 Sp Lisbon 13 11 2 0 +17 35
3 Benfica 13 10 1 2 +25 31
4 Sp Braga 13 7 4 2 +8 25
5 Estoril 13 5 6 2 +5 21
6 Portimonense 13 6 2 5 +1 20
7 Guimaraes 13 5 4 4 +3 19
8 Gil Vicente 13 4 5 4 +4 17
9 Arouca 13 3 4 6 -6 13
10 Tondela 12 4 0 8 -6 12
11 Boavista 13 2 6 5 -7 12
12 Maritimo 13 2 5 6 -5 11
13 Pacos Ferreira 13 2 5 6 -8 11
14 Famalicao 13 2 4 7 -8 10
15 Vizela 12 1 7 4 -10 10
16 Santa Clara 13 2 4 7 -15 10
17 Moreirense 12 1 6 5 -8 9
18 Belenenses 12 1 5 6 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Gil Vicente
Denílson 🟨
12′
Luiz Carlos 🟨
26′
40′
🟨 Zé Carlos
Half-time 0–0
Nuno Santos 🔁
↦ Luíz Carlos
63′
67′
🔁 A. Léautey
↦ Murilo
70′
🟨 Vítor Carvalho
74′
🔁 Matheus Bueno
↦ K. Fujimoto
Abbas Ibrahim 🟨
77′
João Pedro 🔁
↦ A. Ibrahim
80′
J. Delgado 🔁
↦ Zé Uilton
81′
Hélder Ferreira 🔁
↦ Lucas Silva
81′
90′
🔁 B. Aouacheria
↦ Samuel Lino
90′
🔁 E. Hackman
↦ Zé Carlos
90′
🔁 G. Aburjania
↦ Pedrinho
95′
A. Léautey 0–1
G. Aburjania
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

4-3-3
13 André Ferreira G
5 Antunes D
21 Jorge Silva D
6 Maracás D
3 Nuno Lima D
22 Luíz Carlos M
26 Rui Pires M
8 A. Ibrahim M
9 Zé Uilton F
10 Denílson F
23 Lucas Silva F
Bench (9)
77 Nuno Santos
45 João Pedro
15 J. Delgado
7 Hélder Ferreira
16 Matchoi Djaló
20 Luís Bastos
98 I. Vekič
24 M. Diaby
2 Marco Baixinho

Coach: Jorge Simão

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 Ž. Frelih G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
3 Lucas Cunha D
2 Zé Carlos D
8 Pedrinho M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
10 K. Fujimoto M
77 Murilo F
9 Fran Navarro F
29 Samuel Lino F
Bench (9)
11 A. Léautey
57 Matheus Bueno
7 B. Aouacheria
5 E. Hackman
15 G. Aburjania
4 Diogo Silva
55 Henrique Gomes
42 Andrew
93 Élder Santana

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,08
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.