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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

S T S U U

2–1

Full-time

St Pauli

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 48%

37%

58%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

47%

74%

Both score Ø 66%

74%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,7

2,1

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 3

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 5. · St Pauli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	19	11	4	4	+14	37
2	Darmstadt	19	11	3	5	+21	36
3	Heidenheim	19	10	3	6	+0	33
4	Werder Bremen	19	9	5	5	+10	32
5	Hamburg	19	7	10	2	+13	31
6	Schalke 04	19	9	4	6	+11	31
7	Regensburg	19	9	4	6	+10	31
8	Paderborn	19	8	6	5	+11	30
9	Nurnberg	19	8	6	5	+5	30
10	Karlsruhe	19	6	8	5	+3	26
11	Dresden	19	7	2	10	-5	23
12	Hannover	19	6	5	8	-12	23
13	Holstein Kiel	19	5	7	7	-7	22
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	5	5	9	-5	20
15	Hansa Rostock	19	5	5	9	-11	20
16	Sandhausen	19	4	5	10	-19	17
17	Erzgebirge Aue	19	3	6	10	-15	15
18	Ingolstadt	19	2	4	13	-24	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Heidenheim	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Darmstadt	9	6	1	2	+15	19
4	Hamburg	10	4	6	0	+10	18
5	Schalke 04	10	5	2	3	+9	17
6	Regensburg	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Nurnberg	10	5	2	3	+6	17
8	Dresden	9	5	1	3	+6	16
9	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+8	15
11	Holstein Kiel	10	4	2	4	-3	14
12	Hannover	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-2	9
14	Hansa Rostock	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Erzgebirge Aue	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Ingolstadt	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Sandhausen	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Darmstadt	10	5	2	3	+6	17
3	Werder Bremen	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Regensburg	9	4	2	3	+3	14
5	Schalke 04	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Sandhausen	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Hamburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
8	Nurnberg	9	3	4	2	-1	13
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Hansa Rostock	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	Heidenheim	9	4	0	5	-6	12
13	Hannover	10	3	3	4	-7	12
14	Karlsruhe	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	-4	8
16	Erzgebirge Aue	9	1	4	4	-8	7
17	Dresden	10	2	1	7	-11	7
18	Ingolstadt	10	1	1	8	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.