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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

S S S U T

2–2

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

61%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

72%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,1

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

12 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 2

8 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Erzgebirge Aue 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	18	11	3	4	+14	36
2	Darmstadt	18	11	2	5	+21	35
3	Hamburg	19	7	10	2	+13	31
4	Schalke 04	18	9	3	6	+11	30
5	Nurnberg	18	8	6	4	+6	30
6	Heidenheim	18	9	3	6	-1	30
7	Werder Bremen	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Regensburg	18	8	4	6	+7	28
9	Paderborn	18	7	6	5	+10	27
10	Karlsruhe	18	6	7	5	+3	25
11	Dresden	19	7	2	10	-5	23
12	Hannover	19	6	5	8	-12	23
13	Holstein Kiel	18	5	6	7	-7	21
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	5	5	8	-2	20
15	Hansa Rostock	19	5	5	9	-11	20
16	Sandhausen	18	4	5	9	-16	17
17	Erzgebirge Aue	18	3	5	10	-15	14
18	Ingolstadt	18	2	4	12	-23	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	8	8	0	0	+19	24
2	Darmstadt	8	6	0	2	+15	18
3	Hamburg	10	4	6	0	+10	18
4	Heidenheim	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Regensburg	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Nurnberg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+9	16
8	Dresden	9	5	1	3	+6	16
9	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Holstein Kiel	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Werder Bremen	8	3	3	2	+5	12
12	Hannover	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-2	9
14	Hansa Rostock	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Erzgebirge Aue	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Ingolstadt	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Sandhausen	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Darmstadt	10	5	2	3	+6	17
3	Werder Bremen	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Schalke 04	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Sandhausen	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Hamburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	1	4	+0	13
8	Nurnberg	9	3	4	2	-1	13
9	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-5	12
10	Hansa Rostock	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Heidenheim	9	4	0	5	-6	12
12	Hannover	10	3	3	4	-7	12
13	Regensburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Karlsruhe	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Holstein Kiel	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Dresden	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Erzgebirge Aue	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Ingolstadt	9	1	1	7	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.