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2. Bundesliga
0–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
26%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
7 Corners 6
15 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 14. · Nurnberg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 19 11 4 4 +14 37
2 Darmstadt 19 11 3 5 +21 36
3 Heidenheim 19 10 3 6 +0 33
4 Werder Bremen 19 9 5 5 +10 32
5 Hamburg 19 7 10 2 +13 31
6 Schalke 04 19 9 4 6 +11 31
7 Regensburg 19 9 4 6 +10 31
8 Paderborn 19 8 6 5 +11 30
9 Nurnberg 19 8 6 5 +5 30
10 Karlsruhe 19 6 8 5 +3 26
11 Dresden 19 7 2 10 -5 23
12 Hannover 19 6 5 8 -12 23
13 Holstein Kiel 19 5 7 7 -7 22
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 5 5 9 -5 20
15 Hansa Rostock 19 5 5 9 -11 20
16 Sandhausen 19 4 5 10 -19 17
17 Erzgebirge Aue 19 3 6 10 -15 15
18 Ingolstadt 19 2 4 13 -24 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U
3,33
B ✓
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.