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2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U U U S U

2–2

Full-time

Dresden

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 27%

30%

23%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

47%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

57%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

20 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 13. · Dresden 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Schalke 04	30	17	5	8	+28	56
2	Werder Bremen	30	15	9	6	+15	54
3	St Pauli	30	15	8	7	+15	53
4	Darmstadt	30	15	6	9	+16	51
5	Nurnberg	30	14	8	8	+6	50
6	Hamburg	30	12	12	6	+24	48
7	Heidenheim	30	13	6	11	-4	45
8	Paderborn	30	11	11	8	+10	44
9	Regensburg	30	10	9	11	+5	39
10	Karlsruhe	30	9	12	9	+3	39
11	Holstein Kiel	30	10	8	12	-10	38
12	Hansa Rostock	30	10	8	12	-10	38
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	9	10	11	+2	37
14	Hannover	30	9	9	12	-13	36
15	Sandhausen	30	8	11	11	-13	35
16	Dresden	30	7	8	15	-12	29
17	Erzgebirge Aue	30	5	7	18	-32	22
18	Ingolstadt	30	4	7	19	-30	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	10	3	1	+19	33
2	Heidenheim	15	9	4	2	+9	31
3	Hamburg	16	8	6	2	+18	30
4	Schalke 04	15	9	2	4	+15	29
5	Werder Bremen	15	7	6	2	+11	27
6	Darmstadt	15	8	3	4	+10	27
7	Nurnberg	15	8	3	4	+6	27
8	Holstein Kiel	15	7	2	6	-3	23
9	Regensburg	15	6	4	5	+6	22
10	Karlsruhe	15	5	7	3	+6	22
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	5	5	+6	20
12	Dresden	15	5	4	6	+1	19
13	Hannover	15	4	6	5	-6	18
14	Hansa Rostock	15	4	4	7	-7	16
15	Sandhausen	15	3	5	7	-11	14
16	Paderborn	15	2	7	6	-3	13
17	Erzgebirge Aue	15	3	2	10	-17	11
18	Ingolstadt	15	2	4	9	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	Schalke 04	15	8	3	4	+13	27
3	Werder Bremen	15	8	3	4	+4	27
4	Darmstadt	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Nurnberg	15	6	5	4	+0	23
6	Hansa Rostock	15	6	4	5	-3	22
7	Sandhausen	15	5	6	4	-2	21
8	St Pauli	16	5	5	6	-4	20
9	Hamburg	14	4	6	4	+6	18
10	Hannover	15	5	3	7	-7	18
11	Regensburg	15	4	5	6	-1	17
12	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	-3	17
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	5	6	-4	17
14	Holstein Kiel	15	3	6	6	-7	15
15	Heidenheim	15	4	2	9	-13	14
16	Erzgebirge Aue	15	2	5	8	-15	11
17	Dresden	15	2	4	9	-13	10
18	Ingolstadt	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.