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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

31%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

62%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

31%

77%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 16. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	14	8	2	4	+19	26
2	St Pauli	13	8	2	3	+13	26
3	Paderborn	14	7	4	3	+12	25
4	Regensburg	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Nurnberg	14	6	6	2	+7	24
6	Hamburg	14	5	8	1	+8	23
7	Schalke 04	14	7	2	5	+6	23
8	Werder Bremen	14	5	5	4	+0	20
9	Heidenheim	13	5	3	5	-6	18
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	5	4	+0	17
11	Hansa Rostock	14	5	2	7	-7	17
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Erzgebirge Aue	14	3	5	6	-7	14
14	Hannover	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	Holstein Kiel	13	3	5	5	-9	14
16	Dresden	13	4	1	8	-4	13
17	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-12	12
18	Ingolstadt	13	1	2	10	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	St Pauli	6	6	0	0	+16	18
3	Regensburg	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Nurnberg	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Heidenheim	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Hamburg	7	2	5	0	+4	11
7	Schalke 04	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	Dresden	6	3	0	3	+3	9
9	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Karlsruhe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Hansa Rostock	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Holstein Kiel	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	3	2	+0	6
17	Ingolstadt	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Sandhausen	7	0	2	5	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-1	11
6	Nurnberg	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Hansa Rostock	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	St Pauli	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Holstein Kiel	6	1	4	1	-2	7
14	Erzgebirge Aue	7	1	3	3	-4	6
15	Hannover	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Heidenheim	6	2	0	4	-7	6
17	Dresden	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Ingolstadt	7	1	0	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.