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Ligue 2

Bastia

U U U T U

2–1

Full-time

Paris FC

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 39%

24%

53%

Points per game

1,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

29%

38%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

47%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 8

3 Corners 8

14 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 14. · Paris FC 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	34	21	10	3	+48	73
2	Ajaccio	34	20	7	7	+18	67
3	Auxerre	34	18	10	6	+19	64
4	Paris FC	34	18	9	7	+17	63
5	Sochaux	34	17	10	7	+12	61
6	Le Havre	34	13	11	10	+1	50
7	Guingamp	34	12	12	10	+0	48
8	Caen	34	12	10	12	+10	46
9	Niort	34	12	9	13	+2	45
10	Nimes	34	12	7	15	-7	43
11	Amiens	34	9	15	10	+4	42
12	Dijon	34	12	6	16	-6	42
13	Pau FC	34	12	6	16	-9	42
14	Bastia	34	8	16	10	+1	40
15	Grenoble	34	11	6	17	-11	39
16	Valenciennes	34	8	12	14	-15	36
17	Rodez	34	7	13	14	-13	34
18	Quevilly Rouen	34	8	10	16	-19	34
19	Dunkerque	34	8	6	20	-20	30
20	Nancy	34	5	9	20	-32	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	17	12	4	1	+35	40
2	Paris FC	17	10	6	1	+15	36
3	Ajaccio	17	11	3	3	+11	36
4	Sochaux	17	9	5	3	+7	32
5	Auxerre	17	9	4	4	+12	31
6	Pau FC	17	10	1	6	+6	31
7	Amiens	18	7	6	5	+11	27
8	Guingamp	17	7	6	4	+5	27
9	Caen	17	8	2	7	+10	26
10	Niort	17	7	5	5	+7	26
11	Dijon	17	8	2	7	+0	26
12	Bastia	17	4	12	1	+7	24
13	Grenoble	17	7	3	7	+0	24
14	Le Havre	17	6	5	6	-1	23
15	Dunkerque	17	5	5	7	-5	20
16	Nimes	17	5	4	8	-5	19
17	Quevilly Rouen	17	4	7	6	-5	19
18	Rodez	17	3	9	5	-3	18
19	Valenciennes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Nancy	16	4	4	8	-11	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	17	9	6	2	+13	33
2	Auxerre	17	9	6	2	+7	33
3	Ajaccio	17	9	4	4	+7	31
4	Sochaux	17	8	5	4	+5	29
5	Paris FC	17	8	3	6	+2	27
6	Le Havre	17	7	6	4	+2	27
7	Nimes	17	7	3	7	-2	24
8	Guingamp	17	5	6	6	-5	21
9	Caen	17	4	8	5	+0	20
10	Valenciennes	17	4	8	5	-5	20
11	Niort	17	5	4	8	-5	19
12	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-6	16
13	Bastia	17	4	4	9	-6	16
14	Rodez	17	4	4	9	-10	16
15	Amiens	16	2	9	5	-7	15
16	Grenoble	17	4	3	10	-11	15
17	Quevilly Rouen	17	4	3	10	-14	15
18	Pau FC	17	2	5	10	-15	11
19	Dunkerque	17	3	1	13	-15	10
20	Nancy	18	1	5	12	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.