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Championship

Referee: M Salisbury

QPR

S U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Birmingham

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Championship · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 32%

33%

30%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

78%

40%

Both score Ø 49%

78%

20%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match QPR 13. · Birmingham 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Coventry	10	7	1	2	+9	22
3	Bournemouth	9	6	3	0	+9	21
4	Fulham	9	5	2	2	+11	17
5	Stoke	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Blackburn	9	4	4	1	+7	16
7	Reading	10	5	1	4	+0	16
8	Sheffield United	10	4	3	3	+5	15
9	Huddersfield	8	4	1	3	+3	13
10	Bristol City	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Luton	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	Preston	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	QPR	9	3	3	3	+3	12
14	Cardiff	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Birmingham	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Blackpool	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Swansea	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Derby	10	2	4	4	-3	10
19	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-2	9
20	Millwall	9	1	6	2	-2	9
21	Barnsley	9	1	5	3	-4	8
22	Peterboro	9	2	1	6	-10	7
23	Peterborough	9	2	1	6	-10	7
24	Hull	9	1	2	6	-9	5
25	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Reading	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Stoke	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Bournemouth	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Sheffield United	6	3	1	2	+7	10
7	Blackburn	5	3	1	1	+6	10
8	Preston	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Luton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Fulham	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Peterboro	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Peterborough	4	2	1	1	+3	7
13	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Derby	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	Swansea	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Blackpool	5	2	0	3	-4	6
17	QPR	4	1	2	1	+1	5
18	Millwall	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Barnsley	4	1	2	1	+0	5
20	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-3	5
21	Cardiff	4	1	1	2	+0	4
22	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Bristol City	5	0	4	1	-1	4
24	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-5	1
25	Hull	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Fulham	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Bournemouth	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Cardiff	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	QPR	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Huddersfield	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Birmingham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Blackburn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Blackpool	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Luton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Middlesbrough	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Sheffield United	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Swansea	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Stoke	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Millwall	5	0	4	1	-2	4
17	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Hull	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Derby	6	1	1	4	-4	4
20	Preston	5	0	3	2	-2	3
21	Barnsley	5	0	3	2	-4	3
22	Reading	4	1	0	3	-5	3
23	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
24	Peterboro	5	0	0	5	-13	0
25	Peterborough	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.